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Avalanche @ Leafs - Nov. 10th, 7:00pm - TSN4

I might say blow it up, but they don't have their own picks. It's limbo time.
The 30 somethings value is very unlikely to rise. If they hang on to them for a couple of more years, they're likely to get a lot less asset return.

Their own picks are gone. Nobody is giving them back. They have to proceed with the best path forward from that point. The sooner they start the rebuilding process, the sooner they will be back with a better constructed team.

But they don't have to do anything immediately. It doesn't look good at the moment but they have a little time to see if they can straighten this group out.

They were never going to win a Cup. The only realistic exercise was to see if they could improve enough to make the playoffs. They're only 20 games in with a new coach and half the players changed. Chayka has little choice but to let this play out a little longer.
 
If this is truly a lost cause season, Matthews value won't really be lower in January/February than it is now. If Nylander is going to waive his NMC he's going to be pretty much as valuable in the offseason as he is now. There is no incentive to blow it up in November unless a team wildly overpays and that isn't likely to happen.

I don't dislike what Joshua has done since coming back but at the same time he's just more of the same in the middle of the lineup of guys who are making 3 million dollars to not score goals.

Tavares-Nylander has always been a problem defensively and I don't understand why the organization is fixated on keeping them paired together. Tavares is not a good defensive player. He tries hard but right now it looks pretty clear that whatever he was hurt with isn't healed and he rushed back because of the other lineup injuries. I don't know if Nylander is still fighting something or just in one of his sulk slumps where offence dries up and his bad defence really gets exposed because you don't get the risk-reward payoff.

Most of the goals last night weren't on Bob but you just need your goalie to make more than 22 saves. Every game is the same thing "oh it's not really his fault....the defence is bad...." Every single game we watch the opposing goalie make big saves at important times. It's just not good enough.

I don't think we have seen very many games where the Leafs looked like they gave up. They tried in this one. They tied it up...defense fell apart and Bob couldn't make a timely save. But at the same time, for a team that has lost 5 of 6 and 4 straight at home....where is the frustration. The team isn't getting PP calls. Get mad. Hit someone. Start a post-whistle scrum. They had the one against Montreal but even that was initiated by Xhekaj taking a late run at McCabe
 
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In my opinion, outside of Bobrovsky, they're losing because of poor execution: bad coaching, untimely penalties, bad effort, bad line changes, bad player deployment, missed passes, missed tap-ins.

Looks like a team that never played together because they haven't. I think if they clean some shit up, they can win a lot more games. A lot of their losses they could have or should have won. They're close.
 
Agreed on the points that they have time to see this through. Things may get better so don't to anything now.

They do need a second line center. Tavares can't do it anymore. He can't play with pace. Not just on the skating side, but on the decision making side. You don't have to be a burner, but you need to know what you want to do with the puck and attack the zone with purpose. Line's 2 and 3 lack the ability to impose their will on the other team, because they can't make decisions with the puck quick enough, so they just end up bobbling it.

The team reminds me a lot of the years where the Leafs transitioned between Burns and Quinn. They had some pieces (Sundin) but they needed to retool. It took a couple of years. They sold off the assets that made sense (Gilmour, Ellet, Andreychuk), and built things back up. They can do something similar. It's what I was hoping for last year. It's what Boston did when they missed the playoffs that one year. So use the analytical assets at your disposal, find a player that might not be valued as highly as they could be and then make a move for them. The wingers that the Leafs can pair with a center means they just have to find someone who can chain the plays (as Herman would say) playing on a line with say Nylander and Marchenko.

Just please, do not trade future assets for an old potential solution for this year only.
 
The 30 somethings value is very unlikely to rise. If they hang on to them for a couple of more years, they're likely to get a lot less asset return.

Their own picks are gone. Nobody is giving them back. They have to proceed with the best path forward from that point. The sooner they start the rebuilding process, the sooner they will be back with a better constructed team.

But they don't have to do anything immediately. It doesn't look good at the moment but they have a little time to see if they can straighten this group out.

They were never going to win a Cup. The only realistic exercise was to see if they could improve enough to make the playoffs. They're only 20 games in with a new coach and half the players changed. Chayka has little choice but to let this play out a little longer.

Got to at least get the team fully healthy (Marchenko and Rielly mainly) and see if it makes any difference before doing anything significant.

They have 18 pts with 64 games to go. If we assume they'd need 100 pts to make the playoffs (it was 98 last year), that means they'd have to play at about a 107 point pace for the rest of the season (.640 winning pct). Is that possible for this team with it's serious defensive issues? Seems unlikely.

If (when) they're on the outside looking in as the trade deadline approaches, then they will need to see if they can get anything useful for some of the older players...OEL (need him to pick up his game), maybe Sissons and a couple of the other pluggers they signed this summer. Start the process. Then have that conversation with Matthews and Nylander...
 

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