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Treliving said. “Mitch controls a lot of this whole thing. If there’s a way to make our team better, we’re going to do it. But we’re certainly not going to make a trade just so we can pound our chest and say, ‘Look, we’re different.'”I don’t read anything in that quote that says the GM is “kicking around trading Marner”, it’s about as generic a quote from a GM as you can get.
Sure. But once July 1, 2024 rolls around, if your agent isn’t in Treliving’s office to start working out an extension — something team friendly, that shows commitment to the city and returns some of what your underperformance cost the team over your last deal — it’s clear that you aren’t interested to be part of building a winning team in Toronto. You are out to maximize your short term value. Which, fine, but don’t be shocked when fans turn on you or the media reports what you’re doing?
What were they going to talk about? Treliving stated to the media he was considering trading Marner a month before July 1, 2024. And apparently, they got close to a deal with Vegas if Friedman is to be believed. Then we know about the Rantanen Canes deal. It has been questionable all along since May 2024 if the Leafs truly wanted to re-sign Marner. The whole gist of it seemed like they just wanted to avoid losing him for nothing. Re-signing him as a valued member of the team never seemed like a priority.
Maybe he just doesn’t want to be here anymore.I mean, James Mirtle reported on the Leaf Report Podcasg around the time of the Rantanen proposed trade that the Leafs had offered Marner a big contract and were frustrated that he wasn’t signed yet.
This. There were lots of reports of the Leafs approaching Marner and being rebuffed. How that's being spun into somehow the Leafs not making re-signing a priority is beyond me.I mean, James Mirtle reported on the Leaf Report Podcasg around the time of the Rantanen proposed trade that the Leafs had offered Marner a big contract and were frustrated that he wasn’t signed yet.
We are not looking good. Marner walking, no high picks for the next 2-3 years, farm system is crap. We'll see what Tre does but I think we are looking at some sad days ahead.It's so entertaining watching and reading the pearl clutching on different levels. At this point I could care less if they completely blew up the team or not. Again, I do think it was insane not to recoup something for one of the big three, but I also just can't believe the number of people who seem to want to run it back yet again (as highly unlikely an outcome as that is). Are we afraid of taking a step back, like not winning a round like we haven't in the last 7 of 9 years? Are we afraid of not having enough assets going forward? Because that ship has long, long sailed unless this front office decides to start playing hardball even with NMC holders.
We are not looking good. Marner walking, no high picks for the next 2-3 years, farm system is crap. We'll see what Tre does but I think we are looking at some sad days ahead.
This. There were lots of reports of the Leafs approaching Marner and being rebuffed. How that's being spun into somehow the Leafs not making re-signing a priority is beyond me.
They did not get "full NMCs." Dubas and Shanny gave NMCs in the final year of 34s 5 year deal and the last 2 years of 16's 6 year deal. 88 never got one, he had a NTC in his final year. This was pretty common practice to sign these deals with the stars. Stamkos, Hedman, Toews, Kane, Perry, Getzlaf, Crosby, Malkin and the list goes on.That is just a piece trying to make Marner the good guy and the Leafs the ultimate bad guys.
I said it before, Dubas recreated the Muskoka five with the player coming off their entry level with full NMC, this is not on Marner, it is a shame to lose an amazing player for nothing, but it is what it is.
They all got some form of trade protection as soon as they were eligible - which was when they crossed the threshold to make them eligible to be UFAs.They did not get "full NMCs." Dubas and Shanny gave NMCs in the final year of 34s 5 year deal and the last 2 years of 16's 6 year deal. 88 never got one, he had a NTC in his final year. This was pretty common practice to sign these deals with the stars. Stamkos, Hedman, Toews, Kane, Perry, Getzlaf, Crosby, Malkin and the list goes on.
Yes and that was common for a lot of stars 2nd contracts. It's not the big deal it's made out to be.They all got some form of trade protection as soon as they were eligible - which was when they crossed the threshold to make them eligible to be UFAs.
The Muskoka five moniker pisses me off to no end. The way they treated Sundin was pure garbage. If you’ll recall they weren’t far out of the playoffs and sundin said that his place is here as captain to help the team make the playoffs. It’s not his fault that JFJ fucked up the team.That is just a piece trying to make Marner the good guy and the Leafs the ultimate bad guys.
I said it before, Dubas recreated the Muskoka five with the player coming off their entry level with full NMC, this is not on Marner, it is a shame to lose an amazing player for nothing, but it is what it is.
Oh. Totally standard practice. No question.Yes and that was common for a lot of stars 2nd contracts. It's not the big deal it's made out to be.
And the only reason he went to Vancouver is the team said they didn't want him when he decided he wanted to play one final year. Somehow they managed to spin that into Sundin sticking it to the organizationThe Muskoka five moniker pisses me off to no end. The way they treated Sundin was pure garbage. If you’ll recall they weren’t far out of the playoffs and sundin said that his place is here as captain to help the team make the playoffs. It’s not his fault that JFJ fucked up the team.
It was such a stupid term then and continues to be now.
I think one of the pitfalls of the Dubas-era and the analytics movement in general is the overemphasis on evaluating the large sample data.
Yes, you need to see the whole picture for certain types of evaluation to smear out luck effects, but there was an over-reliance on that to pooh-pooh away a pattern of issues in high-leverage moments because the overall percentages were positive.
I don't know what the exact solution is, because myopically looking only at the high leverage moments washes out the plays that lead to leverage. Maybe a regression algorithm to weigh things out based on historical factors.
Even just with goal scoring (i.e. not counting shot attempts), you could ascribe heavier 'quality' weightings for certain types of goal situations and reduce the noise that comes from secondary assists to get a clearer picture of production.
e.g. higher value weights to
* rush goals, solo-efforts
* goals that tie, take the lead, response goals within 2 min
* primary assists for tap-ins, behind the net passes, cross-slot passes
Get a good model for the goals and it can be modified and applied to shot attempts too
I dunno, the one thing I keep coming back to in my head is that regular season success seems to lead to postseason success for basically every other team except for the Leafs for some reason. This was a team that set a couple of franchise records for regular season success, and I think in probably any other city you would naturally expect (since we don’t have a crystal ball) that to be a barometer for playoff success. Why it didn’t happen here I have no idea and it frustrates me to no end.