At the end of the day it's a results oriented league. The Leafs have an expensive team with a lot of talent. If Babcock can't get them to win in the playoffs, that's going to be the reason he gets fired. Three straight good regular seasons and an 8-12 record in the postseason. They either advance in the playoffs this year or he is toast.
Theres at least a 50/50 chance they play Boston again. You gotta hope that Chara/Bergeron/Krejci start to slow down
I think, if that happens, and the team is exhibiting the same process-related issues that bedeviled them over the last two years, Dubas might move on from Babcock mid-season. And, obviously, if he loses a third year in a row, he's gone.