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Messages - Nik the Trik

Pages: [1] 2 3 ... 1615
1
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Media Thread
« on: Today at 11:37:33 AM »
Check your hot dogs, folks. ESPN reviewed Food Safety reviews for all of the big league stadiums and Toronto has done...not great.

http://www.espn.com/espn/feature/story/_/id/25316231/health-inspection-reports-find-critical-violations-nfl-nhl-nba-mlb-stadiums-2018-espn-lines#!

2
Get Dubas on the phone to just pay CtB his god damn money.   Cap be damned.  Nik we are trading you to Carolina.  Haven't decided which one yet.

Well, I'm not thrilled with this development but the nice thing about writing Hurricanes GDT threads is rather than posting them to the internet I'll just drive to the houses of all 12 fans and read it to them.

3
Sportsnet telecasts suck....just saying.

I am sorry but for the record, I'm just writing GDT's for a week. As of yet nobody has put me in charge of deciding which network airs the games.

4
•Christmas Fun Fact: The eruption of Indonesia's Mount Tambora in 1815 led to what some historians call “The Year without Summer” in 1816. This unusually large volcanic eruption led to a disruption of the global climate, resulting in unusually cold temperatures in North America and parts of Europe. What does this have to do with Christmas? Charles Dickens was 4 years old in 1816 and so it may be the first Christmas he remembered. That, some historians think, is why when he wrote about Christmas he depicted London as being very snowy at this time of year when in reality White Christmases in London are fairly rare. Because Dickens' work was foundational for so much of modern Christmas myth, the idealized “White Christmas” may all be the result of a single volcanic eruption in the Pacific.

That is so colonial, appropriating the work of that eastern/southern hemisphere volcano to idealize whiteness.

If only Irving Berlin had thought to write he was dreaming of a multi-racial Christmas.

5

@
21-9-1, 43 Points | 24-7-1, 49 Points

Projected Lines

Johnsson-Matthews-Kapanen
Brown-Tavares-Marner
Marleau-Kadri-Nylander
Lindholm-Gauthier-Enni

Rielly-Hainsey
Gardiner-Zaitsev
Dermott-Ozhiganov

Andersen

             
Palat-Stamkos-Gourde
Johnson-Point-Kucherov
Killorn-Cirelli-Miller
Joseph-Paquette-Callahan

Hedman-Girardi
McDonagh-Cerak
Coburn-Sergachev

Vasilevskiy

Scratches

Justin Holl
Martin Marincin

      
¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Game Notes

TOR
•Seems pretty likely that Andersen will be starting
•The second game of Hyman's suspension, they did ok without him in Carolina so the vast, evil tentacles of Jeremy Jacobs may have backfired
•Christmas Fun Fact: The eruption of Indonesia's Mount Tambora in 1815 led to what some historians call “The Year without Summer” in 1816. This unusally large volcanic eruption led to a disruption of the global climate, resulting in unusually cold temperatures in North America and parts of Europe. What does this have to do with Christmas? Charles Dickens was 4 years old in 1816 and so it may be the first Christmas he remembered. That, some historians think, is why when he wrote about Christmas he depicted London as being very snowy at this time of year when in reality White Christmases in London are fairly rare. Because Dickens' work was foundational for so much of modern Christmas myth, the idealized “White Christmas” may all be the result of a single volcanic eruption in the Pacific.

TB
•The Lightning recently activated Andrei Vasilevskiy from the IR after four weeks out with a broken foot(I feel ya, Andrei). Louis Domingue has had a good record in his absence(14-4) but with weak peripheral stats(2.95, 905%). I'm guessing we see Vasilevskiy make his return.
•Brayden Point is off to a big start. With 21 goals and 41 points he ranks 2nd and 5th in the league in those respective categories
•After 9 straight seasons with a sub-50 CF%, Dan Girardi is currently at 52.6. Still not good relative to the rest of his first place team but he's hasn't been the drag on the first pairing you might have thought

Injuries

•GDT Thread Author - Lower Body - IR
      
•Anton Stralman - Lower Body - Injured Reserve

Stream Options

https://www.reddit.com/r/NHLstreams

6
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM 2018-2019
« on: Yesterday at 08:02:55 PM »

I suppose I generally tend to think players should "come out Scot free" if they score a point per game, yes.

7
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM 2018-2019
« on: Yesterday at 07:44:24 PM »
How about Buffalo and St Louis?

St. Louis. The team where he's got almost 150% the points of any of his teammates and where they're receiving the worst goaltending in the league?

Yeah, that's probably his fault.

8
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM 2018-2019
« on: Yesterday at 07:11:02 PM »
Oh you read that I wrote in one year??

So your contention is that the Avalanche weren't very good, they traded him, and then three years later they were in the playoffs so there's something indicating he was holding them back.

Sure thing. 

9
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM 2018-2019
« on: Yesterday at 06:38:05 PM »
For all the talk about ROR and how good he is there seems to be a growing list of teams who suck with him and improve without him???

O'Reilly's last year with the Avalanche was in 2014-2015 and the team had 90 points. They traded him and then had two seasons of 82 and then 48 points.

So really the list is just at 1. Although it does have to be said that going from 0-1 is technically growth, I'm not sure it qualifies as a list.

10
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: Jays Roster Discussion
« on: Yesterday at 06:30:25 PM »
Sorry, got confused. I thought we were talking about before the Jays traded for him.

Right and, again, when he was at his peak his road OPS was consistently in the 860-880 range. When he was traded he'd had about 180 games over two seasons where it was about 50-70 points lower than that.

So that's the evidence for the contention that his bat was already starting to slip when he was traded.

11
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM 2018-2019
« on: Yesterday at 06:22:13 PM »

I think it'd be tough because after the run the Leafs would be in a good spot on one hand(O'Reilly is a good player and teams probably want him) but a tough one on the other(they'd still be trying to trade a player they couldn't conceivably keep).

I like the idea of a rental they flip in the off-season but I really think that if they have assets like that to spend at the deadline a defenseman just makes so much more sense.

12
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: Jays Roster Discussion
« on: Yesterday at 06:13:39 PM »
When the Jays traded for Tulo his road OPS hadn't fallen by more than 100 points.

Right, I didn't say it had. From where he was consistently at his peak it had fallen by around 50 points by the time of the trade which is still a pretty meaningful decline. From 2013 to 2015 it's a fairly unmistakable downward slide in his ability to hit in any ballpark other than Coors.

13
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: Jays Roster Discussion
« on: Yesterday at 06:08:40 PM »

Another thing worth mentioning re: Tulowitzki's 2014 is that his BABIP was a fairly uncharacteristic .355 so his slightly stronger home numbers there were probably not sustainable even if he'd stayed in Colorado.

14
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: Jays Roster Discussion
« on: Yesterday at 05:52:57 PM »
I get the Coors field bump, but his entire career was played at Coors Field and doesn't bear out a decline. His home OPS increased from 1.010 in 2013 to 1.246 in 2014.

Right, but that's why road statistics are typically used as the context-neutral baseline. During his peak years(2009-2011), Tulowitzki had Road OPS's of .859, .863 and even .881. In 2013 it was fairly consistent with that and by 2015 it had fallen more than 100 points. So the evidence that he had already begun to slip from his peak is actually pretty strong even if Coors was covering that up a little. 

One of the tricky things with Tulowitzki, because he was injured so often, is separating what of his decline is injury related, what is age related and what is just the standard variations in a baseball career. In this case though, when you compare him to his peak, it's pretty clear he was already moving away from his best years.

15
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: Jays Roster Discussion
« on: Yesterday at 12:41:06 PM »
In 87 games before the trade to Toronto, Tulo was batting .300, was on pace for 22 home runs and 99 rbi and had a .818 OPS. The year previous he had an OPS over 1.000. Not sure where that narrative comes from.

A lot of what you're seeing is just the illusion of playing in Coors Field. In his road stats in 2014 he slashed .257/.364/.447 and then in 2015 he drops to .276/.327/.409.

His Road OPS goes:

2013: .850
2014: .811
2015: .736

His .761 OPS in 2016 was actually a bit of a bounceback.

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