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Messages - Chris

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1
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM Thread 2020-2021
« on: April 16, 2020, 02:22:19 PM »
I laughed too. But hey, we all kind of thought that in his first full season alongside Matthews and Nylander. Credit Babcock and Hyman's attitude/work for the 180 on his career arc perception.

I don't know what you're talking about I've never spoken ill of Mr. Hyman.

I remember referring to him as a "black hole on offense" a few years ago. Not because of his corner work/puck retrieval skills (which were and remain top notch), but because whenever someone passed him the puck and he had time/space, he always seemed to make a bad play - either holding the puck too long and eventually losing it, or making a bad pass or shot. To his credit, he's really improved in that area the last couple of years.

2
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Your personal all-time Leafs team
« on: March 24, 2020, 07:34:23 PM »
Unfairly Maligned: Kadri - Nylander - Kessel

How about a "Hotdogs and Donuts" line featuring Wellwood and Kessel. Not sure who the best fit would be on the left side though.

3
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: March 24, 2020, 05:06:31 PM »
Disgracefully irresponsible dumbells:


He has since apologized, apparently.

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/juliareinstein/coronavirus-spring-break-instagram-apology-miami-video-viral

Also, this is the least surprising thing I've read about him:

Quote
high school graduate and Soundcloud rapper

OK with me as long as he's OK with being turned away from a hospital since, you know, he's OK with getting coronavirus. Save the bed for someone who gives a sh...

4
Season is almost certainly done - this is going to be a long process.


5
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: March 14, 2020, 09:18:29 PM »
Not something we want to read about but the possibility exists of this scenario to have transpired.
Certainly possible that it was a lab leak. How likely, no way of knowing. And the question at this time is, does it really matter? Unless someone in a lab somewhere has a cure or vaccine they're waiting to sell to the world, we have to deal with it the same way whether it's natural or not.

If it is a lab leak, could be a bio-weapon or just a strain they were working with in vaccine development or other basic research. Something to worry about in the future for sure. Now, I just want to avoid getting it if possible.

6
Yeah I heard that the season will be suspended indefinitely.

Seems to me to be a little excessive given the mortality rates etc but they don’t have much choice considering the degree of panic that has erupted.
Part of the reason it's going to be a disaster is this kind of thinking. Anything not essential should be shut down including NCAA, all major sports, concerts, parades, college campuses, etc. Cases are going to explode and overwhelm the hospital system. Have you seen what is happening in Italy? It's coming to the US at least, before you know it.

7
Honestly...whether any particular sport (including NHL) has to cancel its season is just about the last thing I'm thinking about right now.

8
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: March 11, 2020, 08:16:27 PM »
Some of the western countries share one problem, which is very few hospital beds per capita. Sweden only have 2,22/capita, Canada and The UK have about 2,5/capita, compared to for example Japan that have over 13/capita. Several experts here in Sweden says that if we get a lot of serious cases, we wont be able to handle it well.
I read recently that the US system is currently at 96% full. Part of that is the length/severe flu (or maybe flu+coronavirus) season but still normally nearly full. Empty beds don't make any money so there is little spare capacity built into the system.

Could get ugly here in a hurry, especially major metropolitan areas like NYC, Seattle, etc.

9
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: March 11, 2020, 04:48:04 PM »
Very disappointed to see the Prime Minuster coming out and saying things like “we should just take it on the chin and let it burn through quickly” when that would very clearly rapidly overwhelm our already stretched health service but that seems to be where we’re at with our leaders at the minute unfortunately.
It's a great idea (sarcasm) as long as you don't wind up with pneumonia requiring intense medical care when the hospital system is overwhelmed. And don't even think about having another kind of health emergency such as a heart attack, stroke, etc.

Unfortunately that seems to be the direction the US is headed. Lackadaisical response, minimal testing, denial. Kind of what I expected, though I hoped I would be wrong.

10
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: March 11, 2020, 01:48:36 PM »
One thing to keep in mind regarding seasonality - for seasonal influenza, by the time spring and warmer weather arrive, the virus has already burned through a lot of the population. So there is a herd immunity component that helps reduce transmission. For this virus, spread is essentially just getting going and no one has any immunity. We can hope for warmer weather to reduce disease spread but better not count on it.

11
That was a good win.
Definitely. The second period was a bit dicey but they held on against a real gud team. Get Muzzin and Soupman back and maybe this team can do some damage.

12
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: March 10, 2020, 08:00:47 PM »
*Edit: Also just to clarify, I agree people shouldn't "run" to hospitals and should call and see if they can get tested offsite, but I don't think a 3% kill rate is "mass hysteria caused by the media." This is entirely on individuals who should do their damn due diligence and call their GP and ask what they should do and if it makes sense to get tested, and hopefully the test is offsite from a hospital.

If that turns out to be the true mortality rate, then, no, it's not hysteria at all - not with how easy it can spread. The problem is we may not know the true mortality rate for some time - if ever - as a significant number of people who may have contracted the virus will/were never be tested. For a lot of the population, COVID-19 can present similar to a normal cold. There could be thousands of unreported cases out there, which would significantly drive down the mortality rate.

There's lots we really don't know. There were reports coming out of Wuhan back in February that huge numbers of people had died. I saw videos with bodies laying in the streets. There were videos from hospitals with patients lined up through the corridors barely able to breath, with dead bodies on the floor, some in body bags. Reports that crematoriums were unable to keep up. Many think the true death toll in Wuhan was at least 10x what was reported, maybe even more than that. China shut down all those reports by "disappearing" people who were sending out that info. Of course, the true number of minor or asymptomatic cases might be much higher than we think.

I believe South Korea will give us the best info about the overall severity of the virus. They've done vast amounts of testing and presumably identified many more cases, covering a broad range of severity, compared to other countries. Right now their death rate looks very low but it will probably creep up since the disease course is often several weeks. They've identified 7500 case but only about 250 are listed as "recovered" versus 58 deaths. We'll see where that goes.
This is also highly dependant on public policy and social custom and a number of variables. How else do you explain Italy's high rate and Korea's low one? I don't think you can use one country in isolation in analysing this.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/asiatimes.com/2020/03/why-are-koreas-covid-19-death-rates-so-low/
Yeah, I don't know. Italy has an older population and from the stats I've seen, the deaths there so far are very heavily skewed to those greater than 70 (and especially 80). But there are reports coming out now that younger people, in their 40s, are starting to show up in the hospitals with ARDS. So maybe the outbreak there has been going on for longer and the oldest people were getting taken out first and it will now move into younger age groups. If the outbreak started going later in S Korea we might soon see a rapid increase in their death rate. Only time will tell.

It's really weird living through this and watching it spread out through the world. Kind of like seeing a storm on the horizon heading your way, you don't know how bad it's going to be and there's not much you can do about it.

13
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: March 10, 2020, 06:45:05 PM »
*Edit: Also just to clarify, I agree people shouldn't "run" to hospitals and should call and see if they can get tested offsite, but I don't think a 3% kill rate is "mass hysteria caused by the media." This is entirely on individuals who should do their damn due diligence and call their GP and ask what they should do and if it makes sense to get tested, and hopefully the test is offsite from a hospital.

If that turns out to be the true mortality rate, then, no, it's not hysteria at all - not with how easy it can spread. The problem is we may not know the true mortality rate for some time - if ever - as a significant number of people who may have contracted the virus will/were never be tested. For a lot of the population, COVID-19 can present similar to a normal cold. There could be thousands of unreported cases out there, which would significantly drive down the mortality rate.

There's lots we really don't know. There were reports coming out of Wuhan back in February that huge numbers of people had died. I saw videos with bodies laying in the streets. There were videos from hospitals with patients lined up through the corridors barely able to breath, with dead bodies on the floor, some in body bags. Reports that crematoriums were unable to keep up. Many think the true death toll in Wuhan was at least 10x what was reported, maybe even more than that. China shut down all those reports by "disappearing" people who were sending out that info. Of course, the true number of minor or asymptomatic cases might be much higher than we think.

I believe South Korea will give us the best info about the overall severity of the virus. They've done vast amounts of testing and presumably identified many more cases, covering a broad range of severity, compared to other countries. Right now their death rate looks very low but it will probably creep up since the disease course is often several weeks. They've identified 7500 case but only about 250 are listed as "recovered" versus 58 deaths. We'll see where that goes.

14
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: March 10, 2020, 12:42:55 PM »
Please don’t eat the toilet paper!  Masks gone.  Hand sanitizers gone.  Now...toilet paper!!!? 

This is why you've gotta get the vitamin-fortified toilet paper. You never know!

Seriously, though, I started stocking up on supplies about a month ago. I didn't hoard, just bought an extra package of tp each time I went out, OTC drugs that we use regularly, canned/dried foods and drinks that we use anyway. Have been stocking the freezer with meats and veggies. My wife and I could probably get by for at least 2 months, maybe more, if it really hits the fan. Even managed to score some hand sanitizer a couple of weeks ago, as well as a couple packages of n95 masks from Lowes.

I don't necessarily believe it's the end of the world but things may get to the point where I don't want to have to go out and expose myself if the illness becomes widespread. The one big concern is that hospitals become overwhelmed and you have nowhere to go if you really need treatment. Here in the US hospitals regularly operate at over 90% capacity and I think I saw recently that they were at 96% because of the heavy flu season. Wouldn't take much of an outbreak to push the system over the edge.

As for all the other stuff about supplements and pharma...no real input to offer. One thing I did see recently is that there seems to be some decent evidence that vitamin D supplements can reduce ones chances of getting respiratory viruses. Not sure if that potential protection would work against something as virulent as the coronavirus but I've been on a vitamin D supplement for a few months and will continue taking it (would otherwise probably have stopped once the weather started warming up and I was getting out in the sun more often).

15
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Zack Hyman
« on: March 07, 2020, 05:39:52 PM »

 I just wish his heart and determination would rub off on a few more players on this team. We need a Zack attack on on all four lines.


He brings a lot of things this Leaf team sometimes lacks.  And to think some people actually wanted him traded. 

A hometown discount would do well fo him and the team.  Don’t think he’ll be going anywhere, anytime.
If he does this again next year we probably won't be able to afford him. He's not taking a discount. Why would he when no one else did?
Maybe he'd rather stay in Toronto than make maximum dollars somewhere else? Not everyone is as greedy as...[fill in the blank]
I don't think Matthews or anyone else is greddy. Your time in the NHL can be very short so I'm not against a player getting as much as they can. Hyman will be no different and I won't blame him at all if he did leave for more money. We'll see what happens though.
I won't blame him if he wants to be a greedy little %&*$# like the others. That's the way the system is set up and if he chooses to take advantage of it, that's his right. Still, he seems like the one guy (to me) who might stick around and take less to give the whole team a better chance.

Even at his relatively meager salary, he's still set for life unless he does something really stupid.

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