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Messages - Nik

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1
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: My honest opinion for 2021-22
« on: Yesterday at 02:06:57 PM »
Maybe, but I think the issue this year was less Tavares getting hurt (though, obviously, that didn't help) but the team's best players mostly not playing their best. If Marner or Matthews put another puck or two past Price, and we're having a very different discussion. The lack of production from the depth forwards was obviously not great, but when your top players aren't among your top performers, you're not going to get very far.

Yeah, I think the point about Tavares' injury is being lost somewhat. It's not "the entire series hinged on Tavares getting hurt" but rather "the Leafs ran into a hot goalie and a team that shut down Matthews and Marner and got very unlucky with multiple injuries and they almost very nearly won the series convincingly, so let's not pretend retroactively that the talent difference was falsely stated".

And again, this is something that's come up in multiple threads now but there's a false dichotomy here being presented as some people think the team should be "top-heavy" and others who want to build good depth. Everyone wants the Leafs to have good depth, just that simply subtracting one of the team's better players and having a bunch of cap space in and of itself isn't a good way to build depth.

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General Rumours & Speculation / Re: My honest opinion for 2021-22
« on: Yesterday at 01:50:51 PM »
In that sense though isn't there a lot of risk tying that much cap space to a single player? If salary was spread out more you'd have more flexibility and the house of cards is less likely to fall apart with a singular injury. I mean, I get that most teams would be in tough if they lost one of their star centres but maybe you can mitigate that risk better. The team shouldn't be an injury to Tavares, Nylander, Matthews, Marner or even Muzzin away from winning and losing in the first round, it just seems very risky.

I appreciate the point you're making but the reality is that the team didn't "fall apart" with a single injury. They didn't get waxed in 4 like the Oilers after Tavares got hurt despite facing a team that was perfectly capable of beating a "better team" in 4 games like we saw in round 2 vs. the Jets. They sustained an injury to one of their top 4 players(and Foligno) and still very nearly won the series in 5 games.

If by "fall apart" you just mean lose a series then you might be right(although, and I can't stress this enough, any team is capable of losing in the first round for just about any reason) that a team without Tavares but with that cap space is more likely to win a first round series if one guy gets hurt but I don't think it makes the team better necessarily if the overall goal is to win the cup. And at that point you have to ask if the goal is to build a team capable of getting to the 2nd round if things go wrong or a team capable of winning the cup if things go right.

3
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Spezza Re-Signs - 1 year - $750,000
« on: June 17, 2021, 06:16:41 PM »
Can Spezz talk to greedy Hyman

How in your mind would that conversation go? A guy who's made 90 million dollars telling a guy who's made roughly 1/10th of that that money shouldn't matter?
Lighten up Francis, its a joke.

My first clue should have been that it was in no way funny.

4
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: My honest opinion for 2021-22
« on: June 17, 2021, 06:14:48 PM »

I just feel like a lot of the criticisms of Dubas are really based in a lot of unfair hindsight. Like, I was just about the only person here during the Foligno trade saying "Eh, I don't like this. Too high a price. I'd rather have spent less on Hall*" and virtually everyone else was "No, the team needs more grit and leadership. It's why they got beat by Columbus".

Likewise, they "needed" a more physical defense. In comes Brodie. They "needed" more grit and veteran leadership. Here comes Thornton/Simmonds. Everything people said the Leafs should do, they did. It's why they were so favoured over Montreal. Nobody was saying "Man, the Leafs are at a real disadvantage because of all the money they gave to their top 4 forwards against the Habs" until they lost.

The Leafs were a good team. They had depth. They had balance. They got good goaltending. Odds are, absent injuries to Foligno and Tavares, they win the series.

I'm all for a post-mortem but there's a difference between finding a cause of death and saying that it was forseeable. There is no way of building a team where an injury to one of your best players and your key deadline acquisition doesn't hurt. There is no way of building a team that renders you immune from running into a hot goalie. 

Until someone actually presents a positive way forward, advocating for changes just because "Things didn't work" might feel cathartic but I don't think we can confuse it for actual strategy.

5
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Spezza Re-Signs - 1 year - $750,000
« on: June 17, 2021, 12:23:46 AM »
Can Spezz talk to greedy Hyman

How in your mind would that conversation go? A guy who's made 90 million dollars telling a guy who's made roughly 1/10th of that that money shouldn't matter?

6
Quote
A $6 million cap hit might sound outrageous to some Leafs fans, who have watched as Hyman has gone from a Marlies checker to a bonafide NHL first-liner over the last six seasons. But, statistically speaking, Hyman falls in the same category as veteran UFA wingers like Nick Foligno, Ryan Callahan, Cam Atkinson and, yes, David Clarkson who all signed for around 8 percent of the salary cap as UFAs over the last eight years.

Even in a pandemic-induced flat cap world, that’s $6.5 million a season.

I don't know which statistics he's using but it seems a little misleading to just list those guys without taking into account the impact playing on the lines he did impacted Hyman's offensive output. I'd have to look it up but I'd be very surprised if Callahan, Clarkson or Foligno ever had anything comparable.

7
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: 2021 Blue Jays General Discussion Thread
« on: June 15, 2021, 09:39:58 AM »
I'm having a hard time seeing how they figure it out.  Dolis has really turned into a pumpkin this year after a phenomenal 20 innings last year.  I'm not banking on Merryweather pitching for the Jays again this year.  He's just way too injury prone and doesn't appear close to coming back. 

Getting Borucki/Murphy/Hatch back will be nice but they really don't transform the pen into elite status. 

Edit: Didn't see busta wrote the same thing, just better.

8
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: 2021 Blue Jays General Discussion Thread
« on: June 14, 2021, 10:05:21 PM »

This team could really be something if they figure out the bullpen.

9
Vegas is the enemy, yeah? (Gifted a competitive team due to overly favourable expansion draft rules)

The expansion draft rules weren't really that favourable, Vegas just did a great job making a small handful of teams look extremely dumb. I think they should also be given a ton of credit for being super-aggressive and going out and getting a 1LW (Pacioretty), a 1RW (Stone), a 1G (Lehner), and a 1D (Pietrangelo) all in a span of 2 years while a bunch of other GMs just sat on their butts and did nothing to improve their teams.

Yeah, have to keep in mind that if the expansion draft rules had been as restrictive as in the past then that would have left Vegas with a bunch of minimum salary guys and, in order to reach the minimum, would have had a ton of money to sign UFAs so they probably get to competitiveness pretty quick regardless.

10
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: 2021 Blue Jays General Discussion Thread
« on: June 14, 2021, 03:45:07 PM »

I wonder if, given the current needs of the team, you maybe don't consider calling Pearson up and using him out of the pen to start with.

11
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM 2021-2022: Catharsis
« on: June 14, 2021, 12:50:54 PM »
I think you'd need to know the other bits of the story. What could the team get for Rielly, what you'd have to give Carolina in the sign and trade, what sort of deal Hamilton would need...

If you could come out of it with, say, a couple of good prospects and a 1st or 2nd/3rd and Hamilton is a reasonable-ish deal, sure.

12
Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: 2021 Blue Jays General Discussion Thread
« on: June 13, 2021, 02:57:27 PM »

One of the neat things about being a Jays fan right now is you occasionally get to be all like "Oh yeah, they also have a 23 year old Shortstop on pace for 35 homers" or whatever it is.

They need to fix the Bullpen and need one more high level starter but this line-up when Springer and Kirk get back, and then maybe if Moreno or Martin can get call ups? Woof.

13

I'm nominally cheering for the Habs I guess but I'm pretty uninterested in actually watching any of this.

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Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: 2021 Blue Jays General Discussion Thread
« on: June 12, 2021, 04:31:32 PM »

Vladito is a monster.

15
Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: June 11, 2021, 12:05:20 PM »

You don't love the flattening of the 1st vaccine rate. Ideally we want 85-90% of the population vaccinated at least and I'm worried we have enough of these anti vaccine nutjobs to threaten us getting to a place where we can get to herd immunity.

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