Author Topic: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050  (Read 1176 times)

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Offline CarltonTheBear

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Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« on: April 28, 2021, 08:37:07 AM »
@
30-13-5, 65 points | 21-27-9, 51 points

Projected Lines

Foligno-Matthews-Marner
Galchenyuk-Tavares-Nylander
Mikheyev-Kerfoot-Simmonds
Thornton-Brooks-Spezza

Rielly-Brodie
Muzzin-Holl
Sandin-Dermott

Campbell

             
Tatar-Danault-Caufield
Toffoli-Suzuki-Armia
Anderson-Kotkaniemi-Perry
Lehkonen-Staal-Evans

Chiarot-Weber
Edmundson-Petry
Gustafsson-Merrill

Allen

Scratches

Pierre Engvall
  Nicholas Robertson
Ben Hutton
      
Jonathan Drouin
Paul Byron
Alexander Romanov
Brett Kulak

Taxi Squad

Stefan Noesen
Martin Marincin
Timothy Liljegren
Joseph Duszak
Michael Hutchinson
      
Michael Frolik
Xavier Ouellet
Charlie Lindgren

Game Notes

TOR
•Campbell (13-2-1, 2.21 GAA, .922 Sv%) will likely start for the Leafs
•Toronto has 8 games left in the season and 4 of them come against Montreal, their most likely 1st round opponent at this point

MTL
•Allen (9-9-4, 2.49 GAA, .913 Sv%) will likely start for the Canadiens
•Montreal still controls their fate as far as the 4th playoff spot in the North goes. They have a 6 point lead over Calgary with a game in hand and a 10 point lead over Vancouver although the Canucks have played 5 less games. But a 4-8 run in their last 12 games has made everyone in Montreal tense up a little bit

Injuries

•Zach Bogosian - Upper Body - Injured Reserve
•Zach Hyman - Knee - Injured Reserve
    •Frederik Andersen - Lower Body - Injured Reserve
•Riley Nash - Knee - Injured Reserve
•Scott Sabourin - Hand - Injured Reserve
      
•Jonathan Drouin - Illness - Questionable Wednesday
•Paul Byron - Lower Body - Questionable Wednesday
•Carey Price - Concussion - Injured Reserve
•Brendan Gallagher - Thumb - Injured Reserve

Stream Options

BilaSport.net
Sportsurge.net

Offline CarltonTheBear

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2021, 08:41:49 AM »

Offline LittleHockeyFan

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #2 on: April 28, 2021, 08:50:30 AM »
oh, good. Gallagher is out. I can't stand that twerp.

Offline LittleHockeyFan

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #3 on: April 28, 2021, 08:51:06 AM »
wwwwwwwwwwwwhyyyyyyyyyyy is this an 8 pm start?   :(

Online L K

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #4 on: April 28, 2021, 08:54:10 AM »

I don't think that's right?

Toronto - 48GP - 65P - 24RW - 29ROW - 30W   (H2H 3-3-1 7P)
Vancouver - 42GP - 41P - 13RW - 16 ROW - 19W (H2H 4-3-0 8P)

So if Toronto wins/Vancouver loses today even in regulation for both:

49GP - 67P - 25RW - 30ROW - 31W
43GP - 41P - 13RW - 16ROW - 19W

So if the Leafs go 0-7-0 to finish the year and the Canucks go 13-0-0 it would be
56GP - 67P - 25RW - 30ROW - 31W
56GP - 67P - 26RW - 29ROW - 32W

So Vancouver would still have the tiebreaker win because they would have one more regulation win.

I think the magic number is still 5.

Same thing with Montreal.
47GP - 51P - 19RW - 20ROW -21W
the lose and go to 48GP - 51P - 19RW - 20ROW -21W

They have 8 games left so if they went 8-0-0

56GP - 67P - 27RW - 27ROW - 28W

They would have the Leafs by the RW tie-breaker still.
« Last Edit: April 28, 2021, 08:57:23 AM by L K »

Offline CarltonTheBear

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #5 on: April 28, 2021, 09:09:18 AM »
He goes through more of the math/possibilities in the thread, it might be worth checking it. Since teams are only playing other teams in the division this season it gets a bit more complicated, because for teams like Vancouver or Montreal to completely win out the rest of the year it means a certain amount of guaranteed losses for Edmonton. So even in those scenarios where they win out the Leafs would still be in over Edmonton (assuming regulation wins for the Leafs/sens tonight).

Online L K

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #6 on: April 28, 2021, 09:40:11 AM »
He goes through more of the math/possibilities in the thread, it might be worth checking it. Since teams are only playing other teams in the division this season it gets a bit more complicated, because for teams like Vancouver or Montreal to completely win out the rest of the year it means a certain amount of guaranteed losses for Edmonton. So even in those scenarios where they win out the Leafs would still be in over Edmonton (assuming regulation wins for the Leafs/sens tonight).

Ahhh yep.  Makes sense now.  Edmonton has 7 games against Vancouver/Montreal


Offline Nik

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2021, 10:58:39 AM »

Hope Drouin sorts stuff out.
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Offline CarltonTheBear

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #8 on: April 28, 2021, 11:00:04 AM »
He missed their last 3 games with what was described as a non-COVID illness. Hope he's ok.

Offline herman

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #9 on: April 28, 2021, 11:22:34 AM »
Man, that sucks.

Will Keefe entertain the Cole Caufield vs Nick Robertson matchup then?
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Offline Guilt Trip

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #10 on: April 28, 2021, 11:36:39 AM »
Man, that sucks.

Will Keefe entertain the Cole Caufield vs Nick Robertson matchup then?
Doubt it. I don't see Robertson getting into any of the remaining games so they don't burn a year off his ELC.

Offline bustaheims

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #11 on: April 28, 2021, 11:53:16 AM »
Doubt it. I don't see Robertson getting into any of the remaining games so they don't burn a year off his ELC.

That's definitely a factor that will keep him out of the lineup unless the team is in a position where they're in a must win game and don't have other options to fill in for injuries, etc. They're not going to waste that last game without a really good team-success based reason.
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Offline hap_leaf

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #12 on: April 28, 2021, 12:16:42 PM »
wwwwwwwwwwwwhyyyyyyyyyyy is this an 8 pm start?   :(

When I was a kid, Wed night games at 8 was the normal routine. Its nostalgic!

Offline herman

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #13 on: April 28, 2021, 12:26:36 PM »
Doubt it. I don't see Robertson getting into any of the remaining games so they don't burn a year off his ELC.

That's definitely a factor that will keep him out of the lineup unless the team is in a position where they're in a must win game and don't have other options to fill in for injuries, etc. They're not going to waste that last game without a really good team-success based reason.

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Offline Significantly Insignificant

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Re: Leafs @ Canadiens - Apr. 28th, 8:00pm - SN, TSN 1050
« Reply #14 on: April 28, 2021, 12:35:56 PM »
Doubt it. I don't see Robertson getting into any of the remaining games so they don't burn a year off his ELC.

That's definitely a factor that will keep him out of the lineup unless the team is in a position where they're in a must win game and don't have other options to fill in for injuries, etc. They're not going to waste that last game without a really good team-success based reason.

why do you guys hate fun

Cuz Captain John Tavares told us to.
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