Ranking Prospects 2020-2021

[CarltonTheBear]

#LeafsForever  prospect Mikhail Abramov has captained his Victoriaville Tigres to a QMJHL Championship, finishing one point back of the playoff scoring lead in the process. https://t.co/yu8fhpDs8R

— Nick Richard (@_NickRichard) June 5, 2021

Nice way for Abramov to finish off his QMJHL career.

[Highlander]

He will be a real boon to the Marlies next year. Hopefully he has the stuff to make it to the big team, he seems very talented.

[Bender]

Going back 30 years, only one team has ever drafted a whole extra expected NHLer or more above their draft slot position in three consecutive drafts. The 2018 to 2020 Toronto Maple Leafs are that team.

— Byron Bader (@ByronMBader) May 9, 2021

From their draft position they should have drafted five NHLers total in those three drafts. They're expected to have nine.

— Byron Bader (@ByronMBader) May 9, 2021

Isn't too early to project that just yet?

[Heroic Shrimp]

Going back 30 years, only one team has ever drafted a whole extra expected NHLer or more above their draft slot position in three consecutive drafts. The 2018 to 2020 Toronto Maple Leafs are that team.

— Byron Bader (@ByronMBader) May 9, 2021

From their draft position they should have drafted five NHLers total in those three drafts. They're expected to have nine.

— Byron Bader (@ByronMBader) May 9, 2021

Isn't too early to project that just yet?

I think this is "expected NHLers" like "expected goals" are expected. xG isn't equal to actual goals, it's a projection. Likewise here, as I understand it. But how accurate? *shrug*

[herman]

At the time of the 2015 draft, Mat Barzal had a higher likelihood of becoming a star than Zboril did of becoming an NHLer. Zboril, of course, was taken three spots ahead of Barzal. I imagine the Bruins would love a do over on that selection. pic.twitter.com/XLTr7CSSYs

— Byron Bader (@ByronMBader) June 6, 2021

Generally pretty accurate. Hard to separate the rough development paths post draft (Buffalo, Edmonton) but the really good players just overcome that obstacle.

[Deebo]

Generally pretty accurate. Hard to separate the rough development paths post draft (Buffalo, Edmonton) but the really good players just overcome that obstacle.

They probably want a do over on all 3 picks they had in a row.

13,14,15 - Zboril, DeBrusk, Senyshyn
16,17,18 - Barzal, Connor, Chabot

[CarltonTheBear]

Generally pretty accurate. Hard to separate the rough development paths post draft (Buffalo, Edmonton) but the really good players just overcome that obstacle.

They probably want a do over on all 3 picks they had in a row.

13,14,15 - Zboril, DeBrusk, Senyshyn
16,17,18 - Barzal, Connor, Chabot

That's not even a benefit of hindsight thing either, people were stunned at those picks as they were happening. There'd probably be some moves that had to be made to get around cap issues but imagine how absolutely gross Boston would be right now if their scouting team didn't galaxy brain that day.

[bustaheims]

They probably want a do over on all 3 picks they had in a row.

13,14,15 - Zboril, DeBrusk, Senyshyn
16,17,18 - Barzal, Connor, Chabot

Probably. DeBrusk is at least a contributing NHL player. He would have been a fine pick near the end of the round - and, even if they took him in that group, but also got 2 of the guys that went right after their picks, no one would be calling him out as a terrible pick, just not the best available option.

The other two? Yikes.

[L K]

Going back 30 years, only one team has ever drafted a whole extra expected NHLer or more above their draft slot position in three consecutive drafts. The 2018 to 2020 Toronto Maple Leafs are that team.

— Byron Bader (@ByronMBader) May 9, 2021

From their draft position they should have drafted five NHLers total in those three drafts. They're expected to have nine.

— Byron Bader (@ByronMBader) May 9, 2021

Isn't too early to project that just yet?

I think this is "expected NHLers" like "expected goals" are expected. xG isn't equal to actual goals, it's a projection. Likewise here, as I understand it. But how accurate? *shrug*

I still want the team to use analytics to help build the team for next season but I certainly have lost a lot of the appetite for expected stats.  I don't care that the Leafs should have won games 7-2 based on xGF anymore. 

[Highlander]

Good article on our prospects in the Athletic today, one guy has us ranked 4th, Wheeler #10.
Now we just have to trade Mogen for some nice picks and a decent prospect.

[herman]

First this:

New Post: Yesterday I was on the ice with a potential first-round pick in the 2021 draft.

Here's what we both learned.https://t.co/u9v8w4izsF

— Jack Han (@JhanHky) June 16, 2021

And then watch this:

Rodion Amirov posted a video this morning of him working on his shot w/ Leafs dev staff, and I’m really impressed with the progression. Lower body mechanics have been revamped. pic.twitter.com/jlCfQCRVlk

— Josh Simpson (@joshsimpson77) June 16, 2021

Previous shot mechanics for reference:

Absolutely laser shot by 19-year-old Rodion Amirov! 9th goal of a season! pic.twitter.com/Iz5POcVIzY

— KHL (@khl_eng) February 27, 2021

[OldTimeHockey]

The weight transfer on those shots is beautiful.