Quote from: CarltonTheBear on September 21, 2023, 01:54:21 PMQuote from: OldTimeHockey on September 21, 2023, 12:16:26 PMOK. I'll frame it another way. Do we think Tavares puts up 36 goals playing with Jarnkrok and whomever else is going to be on the 3rd line? Do we think Nylander puts up 40 with similar talent on his wings?
I get that Tavares is slowing and it may be time to have him on the wing. I'm not really fond of splitting them though.
I think it's worth pointing out that Tavares and Nylander weren't exactly that great together at 5-on-5 last season. Only 4 of Tavares' 36 goals came with Nylander on the ice at 5-on-5, and only 7 of Nylander's 40 goals came with Tavares as his C at 5-on-5. The majority of each of their individual success last season came either on the powerplay or when Nylander played with Matthews and Tavares with Marner. So splitting them up this season shouldn't really play a role in whether or not they repeat last season numbers because that's not why they did well to begin with.
In about 420 5-on-5 minutes last season the Leafs were actually outscored 18-23 with Nylander and Tavares on the ice. That's a per 60 goals rate of just 2.57. For comparison:
Tavares/Nylander: GF% of 43.90 and GF/60 of 2.57
Matthews/Marner: GF% of 62.26 and GF/60 of 3.67
Matthews/Nylander: GF% of 73.08 and GF/60 of 4.52
Tavares/Marner: GF% of 65.96 and GF/60 if 3.38
These stats would suggest a) Matthews and Nylander should probably play together more and b) if they aren't going to play together then Nylander playing with Tavares probably shouldn't automatically be the next option.
I'll zip it now :)