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Messages - princedpw

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Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Federal Election 2019
« on: Yesterday at 11:41:33 AM »
I’ll never understand why they don’t have online voting. The turnout should be through the roof.

There's at least one, maybe two generations of people for whom online voting would instantly mean elections could be "hacked" regardless of what safeguards are in place or verification systems are used. Just look at what we saw in the States with just some of the voting machines being computerized and what the nutjobs think that means.

Considering that those older voters tend to turnout in stronger numbers and would be least open to the idea...well, that's why we don't have it.

My understanding is that it is actually extremely difficult, maybe impossible, to implement online voting securely enough.  (I'm a prof in computer science -- I don't follow this topic at all, but some of my colleagues do.). There are a couple ways that it is different than something like online banking, which we all use regularly:

* voting should be anonymous -- no one should know how you vote.  but you aren't anonymous to your bank.  This makes it easiest to detect when things go wrong, prove that things have gone wrong, and fix them when they do.

* timing is crucial -- votes need to be counted by a certain day.  if there is some kind of attack that can only be resolved later, there is going to be a massive threat to democracy.  "getting your money back later" just might not be good enough

* getting the US election right, for example, is more important that just about anything to the right people.  The incentives for putting the right person in place are worth billions and billions of dollars. eg: a corporate or personal tax cut is easily worth 10s of billions to the right people.  This is worth much more than an electronic transfer gone wrong here or there. 

This article explains:

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Rielly
« on: September 18, 2021, 01:55:45 PM »
Morgan Rielly 1.03 pts/60   2.91 hits/60   2.81 blocked-shots/60   3.46 give-aways/60    0.87 takeaways/60
P.K. Subban    0.93 pts/60  2.50 hits/60   2.80 blocked-shots/60   2.74 give-aways/60    0.73 takeaways/60

Over what timeframe?  That seems key.  What do the last 2 years of the two players look like?

I'd also be tempted to look at the even-strength points.  PP points for a defenseman seem far more determined by opportunity and the players and system and around him.  We could sub in Sandin on the PP and not lose anything significant over Reilly (or Subban) I don't think.  We might even gain!

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: 2021-22 Toronto Maple Leafs General Discussion
« on: September 18, 2021, 01:50:40 PM »


What do we think of this?

Looks like he's 29?  Small: 5'9", 163lbs.  In 66 games scored 13-31-44 with a -15 for NJ in 19-20.   

General NHL News & Views / Re: 2021-2022 NHL Thread
« on: September 16, 2021, 08:57:03 PM »
What's a team going to do if one of their high paid stars refuses the vaccine?  There has to be some dumb asses out there in the NHLPA...I know the Leafs already said everyone will be vaxxed, I want to see someone on another team refuse just to see the fall out.

Hockey culture is pretty obstinate. "Fall in line, for the good of the team", which we'd normally find bland, might actually be what pushes the NHL to be more highly vaccinated than most sports. The COVID policy is really quite a good template for other industries to follow, really pigeonholing the anti-vaxxers into extreme inconvenience.

In the dressing room, can you imagine a player saying he'd rather go through tests every 72 hours, no dining with comrades, no leaving the house at home or being completely segregated on the road (including all the maintenance stuff on body/equipment) and significantly inconveniencing the staff that assist you? I think he might last about 3 days before relenting, and at that point, there's another period of waiting for the second dose.

The sad thing is that 99% vaccinated or better is not the norm.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: 2021-22 Toronto Maple Leafs General Discussion
« on: September 15, 2021, 04:35:52 PM »
R  we going to be able  to watch this anywhere?

Probably via the Leafs app.

Morgan Rielly left the unofficial Leafs scrim yesterday after taking a shot off the foot. Justin Holl left today's for an unremarked reason with a trainer. We can't have nice things.

But this is nice:
Leg kick tell to sell the shot


Now do it in April, May, June.

He sort of did. It was the other 17 guys that were the problem.


He completely did.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: 2021-22 Toronto Maple Leafs General Discussion
« on: September 08, 2021, 09:56:41 PM »
This time of year is so tough. I need the dopamine I get from reading daily articles filled with leafs scores and statistics. The withdrawal period is so difficult…

Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: September 08, 2021, 09:53:53 PM »
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Well, folks, we’ve found a new way to win a Darwin Award.

The title is a bit misleading, but there’s a published paper behind the article.

Sounds like divine intervention to me. Praise the Lord.

NHL Transactions / Re: 2021 Offseason Moves
« on: September 01, 2021, 05:02:40 PM »
Would you do that for Rielly? I’m kind of a yes, but his profile is quite different.

From what I've heard, Parayko at 6.5 is a bargain (relative, to, say Nurse).  And I think that Reily at 6.5 would also be a bargain relative to what I think he'd get on the open market (7.5+?).

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: F1: The Importance of Forechecking
« on: August 31, 2021, 12:17:03 PM »
It does take a certain type of player to make a really good F1 option.

All 3 players should be rotating roles based on who's first in, but when a player like Hyman is the F1 the results will generally be better. We know that Marner isn't going to control a player and body them off the puck and we don't want Matthews banging and crashing any more than he already does. Tavares could be an ok F1 but he's a little slow for the role. Nylander falls in with Marner/Matthews.

Attack angles are just as important as the hustle. You not only want to separate the defender from the puck, you want to control where they can go with the puck. Take away their options, except the option that works best for your F2. Your F2 has to recognize which way you are directing the play and react.

My last note, F1 should not chase behind the net. If the puck switches sides, F1 responsibilities switch sides. If the D carries the puck behind the net on the original zone entry, F1 should be choosing the shortest route and angling the player deeper into the corner giving them a single choice of feeding the puck up the walls...which in turn locks their winger against the boards.

Love this

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: F1: The Importance of Forechecking
« on: August 30, 2021, 12:19:46 PM »
Herman: making dreams come true with a thread on F1

All Sports But Hockey / Re: F1
« on: August 29, 2021, 01:59:35 PM »
I really hoped this was going to be a thread on forechecking and the role of F1 …

Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: August 25, 2021, 02:38:30 PM »
Also, in reference to an earlier post — there is no way to do a risk assessment in which one comes to the conclusion that it is riskier to get the vaccine than not unless you are someone who is completely isolated from other humans and plan to be that way for the foreseeable future.  Otherwise, eventually (and likely pretty soon) you are going to come in contact with covid. So the choice is either get covid or get vaccinated (and probably come in contact with covid while vaccinated). 

The known short term effects of covid are vastly more dangerous and prevalent than the known short term side effects of the vaccine.

The known long term effects (long covid) are vastly worse and more prevalent than the known long term effects of the vaccine.

Doctors think that long term effects from the vaccine are unlikely because it doesn’t take too long for the vaccine to be purged from one’s body and we’ve had millions of people taking the vaccine for 8 months now, and 10s of thousands in clinical trials for a year or so.

Could there be unknown side effects of the vaccine? Perhaps.  But there’s no scientific reason to more heavily weight the risk of unknowns from the vaccine than similar unknowns (and knowns! from the virus).

There’s just no rational, scientific risk assessment where you can come to the conclusion that taking, say, Pfizer is a bad move unless you have some particular medical history that suggests there could be a problem.  Anyone who argues otherwise is simply misinformed or making a faulty argument. 

Of course, people can simply value inclusion in their peer group (Eg, inclusion in the Republican death cult) above taking precautions vis-a-vis their own health and the health of others in their community.  That’s possibly a rational choice — choosing to feel good about their expression of “freedom” versus helping themselves and their communities weather the pandemic.  Although it does seem as though at least some people wind up regretting that choice when they are on a ventilator.

Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: Coronavirus
« on: August 25, 2021, 02:19:59 PM »

Policy-wise, this is a wise policy.

I am surprised healthcare companies all over the US aren’t doing this. *This* is personal responsibility (at least a little) — you can choose not to vaccinate, but you have the responsibility to pay for your choice.  The “personal responsibility “ crowd is actually the “abdication of responsibility” crowd.

General NHL News & Views / Re: 2020-2021 NHL Thread
« on: August 04, 2021, 10:19:43 AM »
I wish I could just shift a 1/4 million, just to properly submit paperwork.

Feel free to shift a 1/4 million onto my salary any time and I’ll help out with the math.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Resigning Zach Hyman?
« on: July 25, 2021, 01:24:49 PM »
The Hyman situation is just one where the cap forces the team to get worse next year.  If they let him go, they are worse than last year. If they sign him for 5 million/year then they are worse than last year and also continuing to get incrementally worse as the years go by and he gets more and more injured.

I think they did the right thing by opting for the slightly less bad future scenario.

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