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Messages - herman

#1
Marlies are sitting on a glut of goaltenders:

Matt Murray, which is an extenuating circumstance
Dennis Hildeby
Kevin Petruzelli
Vyacheslav Peksa

Luke Cavallin - on a Marlies deal

Akhtyamov is also on an ELC and projected to join the Marlies next season.

I can see Matt Murray vying for the role of Martin Jones on a similar 800k weird signing bonus deal if he doesn't just get a 5 year contract with Dubas/Penguins. I think the Leafs medical staff have treated him right and I'm sure he'd love a crack at the Leafs net.

There is little reason to keep Samsonov if Woll is not overtly crapping the bed. Woll + Murray (immune to waivers) to start the year with Hildeby/Petruzelli ready for the call saves a significant amount of cap in a crunch season.
#2
https://twitter.com/brigstew86/status/1782839234019090643
I know it's just VHL, where shooting ability and tendencies are a bit stupid, but it's nice to see a Leaf goalie prospect playing well!
#4
Quote from: Arn on Today at 09:40:36 AM
Quote from: Guilt Trip on April 20, 2024, 11:15:51 PM
Quote from: cw on April 20, 2024, 10:25:49 PMMaybe we'll see you next year, Matt ...
https://theahl.com/stats/player/4891/81/matt-murray

Didn't see the games but the stats are not encouraging.
He hadn't played in over a year and had bilateral hip surgery. The fact he played 3 games is a huge win.

I'd sign him to either some kind of league minimum deal, with maybe performance bonuses (can you do that?) or at least bring him to camp with a view to earning a contract.

He's next year's Martin Jones
#5
Quote from: A Weekend at Bernier's on Today at 09:26:08 AMPlus, Domi is doing a pretty darn fine Marner impression playing on 1A.

Oh man, I hated how Domi played at the beginning of the year, and kind of how he played at times as 3C, but he is really doing well as Matthews' winger.
#6
Quote from: Bender on Today at 08:51:11 AMI'll say it again, Marner can get his points but he wilts when games get tough and the chips are down. Matthews thriving despite not having Marner and instead having Domi says a lot to me.

Who does Marner get his points off of, I wonder.
#7
Quote from: CarltonTheBear on Today at 08:32:17 AM
Quote from: herman on Yesterday at 09:17:00 PM- Knies dragging his line down defensively, but still doing some decent spade work on the attack

Knies lining up against Pasta just isn't going to go well. Jarnkrok in that spot makes way more sense, but I'm guessing Keefe doesn't want the all kid line on L3. Maybe something changes there once Willy plays. Getting out of the first two road games with Pasta only have one 5-on-5 point is a pretty good outcome though even if it looked ugly.

Missing Bobby McMann, our best defensive LW, fiercely.

Bertuzzi-Matthews-Domi
McMann-Tavares-Jarnkrok
Knies-Holmberg-Nylander
Dewar-Kampf-Marner (if he plays PK style)

would make Montgomery lose whatever hair he has left on his body. And Keefe could stack up lines with Marner/Nylander whenever it made sense. Jarnkrok and Marner could easily flip whenever.
#8
Marner is objectively a better player overall than Nylander; however, the goal of the game is to have the best team in a hard cap environment for playoff hockey. I like having lots of good players, and in a vacuum, I've got lots of time for a Matthews-Marner-Nylander triumvirate.

The bottom line is the Leafs are in the Atlantic and for the foreseeable future will have to go through teams that
a) forecheck hard
b) defend hard
c) score bunches
d) have magical goalies at the moment

What Marner is good/great at:
- playing defensively responsible
- pulling off crazy seam passes
- logging a stupid number of minutes while playing at a well-above average level
- being extremely extra about holding the blueline to stay on side
- leveraging the Toronto media in contract negotiations

I'll re-iterate this isn't a Marner vs Nylander situation; it's a what style of hockey should the Leafs make their identity for sustained success in the playoffs. I think you're seeing it on line 1, 3, 4 right now: fassthole hockey.
  • Speed: good skating, good routes, quick movement of the puck through the zones to keep defenses switching and thinking and reacting, rather than countering
  • Tenacity: using positioning and assertiveness to disrupt plays, free up pucks, and win mini-1v1/2s all over the ice
  • Sowing Chaos: in a game of inches with a weirdly shape thing to put in the net, skill has the most leverage over the odds when there is a lot of chaos. Shoot the puck on net; generate rebounds, make defensemen turn around and goalies move side to side. The super skilled players frequently turn nothing plays into goals because they are just a bit faster at processing what's happening, just a bit steadier at executing the stickwork required to corral the puck, and have the capacity to be deceptive and calculating in their shots.

I think Marner is capable of playing fassthole hockey and I know he's coming back from a tough injury, but it's been several seasons of him demonstrating a severe allergy to playing direct hockey when there's limited time and space. Historically, the playoff Leafs have played to the level of whatever Marner was giving. Away from Matthews, I could easily sub in Calle Jarnkrok for everything Marner has offered at 5v5/PK this whole season without batting an eye (and Keefe did just that in the 3rd!). Matthews has shown repeatedly he has never really needed Marner to succeed. Coupled with the prospect of a contentious and reputationally disastrous negotiation, I'd rather save my cap space for a centre and another top-4 D in his prime. And I haven't even said anything about how Marner's tendencies on the PP neuter the Leafs every playoffs once the other team watches like 2 videos.
#9
Quote from: Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate on Today at 12:29:10 AMKeefe disagrees with you.  Postgame comments, he thought Marner played a good game.

He's not getting traded, herman.  He's not.  Get used to it.

Keefe knows that saying anything bad about Marner just leads to worse Marner.
#11
Quote from: Guilt Trip on Yesterday at 10:20:03 PM
Quote from: herman on Yesterday at 09:17:00 PMMinor trouble spots:
- Knies dragging his line down defensively, but still doing some decent spade work on the attack
- Marner hasn't really activated, granted he's doing the shutdown duties sans Matthews and that is harder
- Samsonov, by nature of his playstyle, is inconsistent, so we have to work hard to make sure he gets clean looks and is positioned to be lucky
- too many stick infractions against a team that a) knows how to dive b) knows how to pass to Pastrnak
- breakouts getting targeted routinely

Bright spots:
- playing slightly better than Boston 5v5 short two of our better forwards
- Matthews still cooks with Bert and Domi
- Holmberg and Kampf pulling their weight
Marner is getting roasted and I think it's a lil unfair. I think Knies is hurting that line for sure and Marner's assignment as shutdown is def tough playing with JT and Knies.

We need Willy to get back asap because our 3rd line would be a lot more threatening with him there. L2 misses McMann big time.

Marner still sucks at playoff hockey. Everyone is going North-South aggressively and he is still trying to pick his way around the ice laterally like it's December looking for a tap-in pass while skating at 50% speed. Knies is certainly a factor, but he's the rookie filling in, while the 8-yr 11M guy is not really driving the line at all. All he needs to do is help carry the puck through the NZ and pump it on net/chip it deep so Tavares and Knies can bang it around. A blue line slip pass into coverage continues to suck the energy out of their legs.

Leafs are fortunate Matthews continues to be amazing without Marner.
#12
Quote from: Bill_Berg_is_pissed_off on Yesterday at 08:54:04 PMMatthews
Kampf

This one for me
Kampf slogged the puck out so many times after Reaves stayed on too long, dragging one or more Bruins along
#13
Minor trouble spots:
- Knies dragging his line down defensively, but still doing some decent spade work on the attack
- Marner hasn't really activated, granted he's doing the shutdown duties sans Matthews and that is harder
- Samsonov, by nature of his playstyle, is inconsistent, so we have to work hard to make sure he gets clean looks and is positioned to be lucky
- too many stick infractions against a team that a) knows how to dive b) knows how to pass to Pastrnak
- breakouts getting targeted routinely

Bright spots:
- playing slightly better than Boston 5v5 short two of our better forwards
- Matthews still cooks with Bert and Domi
- Holmberg and Kampf pulling their weight
#15
Quote from: Chris on Yesterday at 08:49:02 PMNot much separating these teams, even minus Nylander and McMann. That is encouraging.

Hopefully we can add those two back soon!