Playoffs Round 1: Battle of Ontario

[L K]

They would be eligible, yeah. Winnipeg just called up their top prospect Brayden Yager after his WHL team was eliminated.

That's what brought it to my mind...thanks.

For those not paying attention Danford (Oshawa Generals) and Cowan (London Knights) are about to have an OHL finals rematch after both teams swept their conference finals series.

Cowan is 3rd in OHL playoff scoring with 8G 19A 27P in 12 games (Knights has gone 12-0 so far in the playoffs)
Danford is 20th in OHL defenseman scoring with 2G 3A 5P in 16 games

 

[CarltonTheBear]

For those not paying attention Danford (Oshawa Generals) and Cowan (London Knights) are about to have an OHL finals rematch after both teams swept their conference finals series.

What are the unofficial betting odds looking like for this one? Another easy London win like last year?

 

[Kaberle15]

Cowan can be an intersting option...

 

[Frank E]

I would guess that would be low compared to other playoff teams. Trev has done a great job. Dubas' D was always awful. OEL/Tanev/McCabe have all jumped over Reilly. Reilly/Carlo didn't play the last 4.5 minutes.

FLA has 5 players that they drafted...that's interesting.

 

[L K]

What are the unofficial betting odds looking like for this one? Another easy London win like last year?

Oshawa did got 1-0-1 against London this year (that was the game Easton Cowan got injured when he collided with a player near centre ice in December). London upgraded their goaltender after that though. It's probably going to be another easy win series but I do think that Oshawa will win a game.

 

[herman]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1918362429215453666

Wet blanket award goes to…

 

[herman]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1918358302137663882

 

[herman]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1918319610606051711

 

[Guru Tugginmypuddah]

I will not compare the female fans from each team in this picture.

Keep us abreast of the situation.

 

[herman]

So I reviewed all the goals scored by the Leafs in this first round; it's not comprehensive of their overall approach, merely the ones that resulted in going into the net, but it paints the picture. I could go into greater analysis by trying to log the timings off possession changes or crossing into the OZ/off the faceoff, but I don't have access to those tools.

Summary

The Leafs have a plan for giving good goalies no chance, and it's basically what I've asked for since the 2023 off-season: chaos puck

19 Goals scored

• 63% at 5v5 (12 G), 32% on the PP (6 G), and 1 G on an empty net
• Every goal was either a screened/deflection or rush or nasty pass goal, except for Willy's G1 waltz-in-wrip off the face off.
• 4 counter-rushes off DZ turnovers; one high OZ turnover rush; everything else off the faceoff or established cycle sequence with screens
• 2 lucky deflections early in the series (G1 Tavares, G2 Knies)
• only 4 of the goals did not feature a member of the Core 4 on the scoresheet

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Here's the whole table:

Game	Period	Scorer	1A	2A	Score For	Score Against	State	Shot Type	Shot Location	Danger Zone	Rush	Screen	Deflect	Rebound	Turnover	Slot or Behind the net Pass
1	1	Ekman-Larsson	Laughton	Jarnkrok	1	0	5v5	Wrist	Glove side low	High	1				DZ
1	1	Mitch Marner	Matthews		2	0	5v5	Wrist	Glove side high	High	1				DZ
1	2	Tavares	Nylander	Marner	3	1	5v4	Snap	Glove side mid	High			1	1
1	2	Nylander	Tavares		4	1	5v4	Wrist	Stick side mid	High
1	3	Rielly	Robertson	McMann	5	2	5v5	Wrist	Glove side high	Low	1		1
1	3	Knies	Matthews	Marner	6	2	5v4	Tuck	Stick side low	High				1
2	1	Rielly	Nylander	Tavares	1	0	5v5	Deflection (skate)	Stick side low	High	1	1	1			1
2	1	Tavares	Marner	Matthews	2	0	5v4	Deflection (opponent)	Stick side low	Low			1	1
2	OT1	Domi	Benoit		3	2	5v5	Wrist	Stick side high	High	1	1
3	2	Knies	Nylander	Marner	1	1	5v4	Deflection (opponent)	Glove side low	Low			1			1
3	3	Matthews	Marner	Rielly	2	1	5v5	Snap	Glove side mid	High						1
3	OT1	Benoit	Matthews		3	2	5v5	Slap	Glove side high	Low		1
4	1	Tavares	Nylander	Tanev	1	2	5v5	Tip	Stick side mid	High		1	1
4	2	Knies	Marner	Matthews	2	2	5v5	Wrist	Stick side high	High	1				DZ
4	3	Ekman-Larsson	Nylander	McCabe	3	3	5v5	Snap	Glove side mid	Med						1
6	1	Matthews	Marner	Nylander	1	0	5v4	Wrist	Stick side low	Low		1
6	2	Nylander	Pacioretty		2	0	5v5	Wrist	Stick side mid	High	1				OZ
6	3	Pacioretty	Domi	Holmberg	3	2	5v5	Wrist	Glove side high	Med		1				1
6	3	Nylander	Laughton		4	2	5v6	Backhand	Centre	High	1				DZ