So in the interest of drawing fire from Frank's decision-making process (Leivo and Aaltonen are both 25 now), I will also post my list and enjoy the subsequent roast. I'm more of a projected ceiling (and associated probability), rather than who has played NHL minutes type of ranker. I also just plopped this out without looking at anything other than the eligibility list.
1. Matthews
2. Nylander
3. Marner
4. Rielly
5. Liljegren
6. Kapanen
7. Dermott
8. Johnsson
9. Grundstrom
10. Borgman
11. Carrick
12. Timashov
13. Bracco
14. Rosen
15. Moore
16. Brown
17. Korshkov
18. Engvall
19. Sparks
20. Brooks
21. Dzierkals
22. Marchment
23. Rasanen
24. Nielsen
25. Woll
Not a bad list. Brown is way too low for a guy who can conceivably score 20 goals again, but yeah he's probably maxed out at being the third liner he is now. Trevor Moore is only 1 year younger and still hasn't made the NHL- do you expect him to be better than a third-liner?
I can understand having Timashov and Bracco ahead of him because they have higher ceilings (ie, 2nd line)- but I don't think their chances of hitting those ceilings are very high. I personally wouldn't put them ahead of Brown if, as you state, you also include associated probability- but maybe your probability is a bit rosier than mine.
My list is coming in my next post so you can roast me right back.