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Whatever happened, it happened quickly, aviation experts said, and catastrophically. The fact it happened over the ocean–presumably the South China Sea, but possibly the Gulf of Thailand–means it could be months or years before we know exactly what went wrong. The ocean is a very big place, and finding clues will be slow. It took investigators two years to recover the black box data recorder from Air France Flight 447, which went down over the Atlantic on June 1, 2009.
Once a plane is more than 100 or 150 miles from shore, radar no longer works. It simply doesn’t have the range. (The specific distance from shore varies with the type of radar, the weather, and other factors.) At that point, civilian aircraft communicate largely by high-frequency radio
My guess is (yeah I know.. a real world renowned aviation expert I am) it's in the South Indian Ocean, since it could have flown for hours after the transponder was turned off and there is zero sign of anything hitting land and where it would have no chance of even being seen by anyone even going down, let alone crashing.
If you like a good theory: http://keithledgerwood.tumblr.com/post/79838944823/did-malaysian-airlines-370-disappear-using-sia68-sq68
Pffft wouldn't the pilots of SIA68 of seen the guy tailgating him in his rearview mirrors?