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2025-26 Toronto Maple Leafs General Discussion

Laugh away fellas. I'll eat my words if and when McDavid signs here, and gladly. Otherwise, it is what I said it is.
 
Is it still disastrous if the Leafs win the Cup this year? Or next year? What if that cap space is what helps them sign McDavid? I don't think we can say it's certain to go down as disastrous. It absolutely has that potential, but, it very much has potential to go the other way. We can say for sure that the status quo wasn't working. Something needed to be done. Was it letting Marner go? Only time will tell, but running it back again was not an option, that's for sure.
Well, there's no running it back without a running partner. Are you "letting someone go" when they walk out on you?

So the options here were: (1) let Marner play out his contract and leave in free agency or for a rights trade, or (2) do whatever you need to do to move him out NMC be damned [i.e. take whatever Vegas will give you], or (3) read the room and move him out before the NMC kicks in.

Tre only really had options 1 and 2 available to him, and I don't really fault how he handled this. With the NMC, you're realistically looking at a one or maybe 2 (Dallas?) team list. Is there more than Roy that you can get? Sure, but not much.

Only Shanahan and Dubas could've gone through Door #3, and that they didn't might be among the worst things that've happened to the Leafs. cw is 100% right about the roster and pipeline Matthews is going to be looking at in a couple years. Would Marner have brought back some assets to help replenish the pipeline and round out the roster?
 
I don’t agree that Marner declared he wanted to stay in Toronto. Willy and Matthews did. Marner said he grew up here.

I disagree. This was not the only quote to that effect:

May 2024:
NHL.com Marner contemplating future with Maple Leafs, staying 'would be a goal'
Marner has one season remaining on a six-year, $65.358 million contract ($10.9 million average annual value) he signed Sept. 13, 2019. He hopes that future in Toronto is long term.

"That would be a goal," Marner said. "I've expressed my love for this place, this city. Obviously, I've grown up here. We'll start thinking about that now and try to figure something out."
...
"[Being a Maple Leaf] means the world," Marner said. "Obviously we're looked upon [highly] here, to be honest, and something that you really appreciate. The love that you get here from this fan base and this attention is none like any other. You saw with the (NBA's Toronto) Raptors a couple years ago, the love [fans] still have for a lot of those players (who helped them win a championship in 2019) that they had to trade off this year. That's the love you want."

Within 30 days of that quote, a month before they could sign an extension, Treliving wasn't flying to Arizona to re-sign him - Treliving was talking to the media about trading Marner. Why should a player of Marner's stature want to continue to play in a place where his GM doesn't want him? Matthews was a priority. Marner wasn't.
 
I disagree. This was not the only quote to that effect:

May 2024:


Within 30 days of that quote, a month before they could sign an extension, Treliving wasn't flying to Arizona to re-sign him - Treliving was talking to the media about trading Marner. Why should a player of Marner's stature want to continue to play in a place where his GM doesn't want him? Matthews was a priority. Marner wasn't.

Exactly. A competent GM gets a hometown superstar re-signed. (It's not like trying to re-up another guy we all know who never wanted to be with the team that drafted him in the first place.)

Apologies to anyone who doesn't want to talk about the biggest Leafs roster development in years. I won't be harping on it, but I won't memory-hole it either.
 
That's it in a nutshell - actions speak louder than words. Marner may have said he wanted to stay, but many of his actions over the course of the last year and a half point to a player with one foot out the door. It was clear early in the season something was off with him - not so much in his play on the ice, but with his demeanor. He wasn't enjoying being here anymore. Add in the fact that many reports have him not being open to much negotiation about an extension, and, well, any quotes or statements about wanting to stay just look like meaningless platitudes basically every prominent player on an expiring contract puts out there. He'd wanted out for some time - regardless of his media-trained statements to the contrary - and made sure the opportunity to jump ship would be there for him. Treliving clearly got a similar impression, which influenced his statements on the situation, not the other way around.

Managing is getting people to do things for you. For GM's in hockey, they have to sell ownership on their plans and get ownership to fund them. They have to get the coaching and staff to develop the talent they have - like Sam Bennett. And to implement systems that optimize the usage of the talent they have - etc. They have to get others like the scouts and other staff to do their parts. They have to attract talent to the club. And they have to sell good talent on their club on sticking around. If Marner was iffy, (I don't think he was at the outset), it was Treliving's job to sell him on sticking around - like it was for Gaudreau and Tkachuk - like it is for any GM. He might even fly to Arizona to close the deal. But before they could even sign a deal, Treliving was floating trading Marner. Doing that is not a great way on selling a guy who had declared he wanted to stay in Toronto on staying in Toronto. A top 10 NHL UFA scorer has options to go where he is wanted. A hunk of the responsibility for that is on Treliving. When Marner was a media piñata during the trade rumours Treliving helped to fuel, Treliving was limited in his efforts to defend him. So the guy left to play where he was wanted.
 
Nylander and Matthews signed, no drama.

Mo signed, no drama.

Tavares just signed this summer, at a pretty good number. No drama.

Stolarz just signed for 4 years.

Knies just signed this summer for 6 years.

Seems like a terrible organization no one wants to play for.

Marner is like that really really hot chick you once dated. A freak in the sheets but really really high maintenance and absolutely bat shit crazy.
 
I do agree with the read that Treliving was more muted in his press engagements about Marner, compared to Nylander and Matthews. It was around the same level as we got on Tavares, a touch higher.

Knowing the way Marner's agent and camp negotiates (they orchestrated a drop in the OHL draft to land in London by threatening to go to Michigan/NCAA), no general manager should throw his modicum of leverage out the door with public desperation to retain Marner. That's how you end up paying needle moving 10.9M x 6 for a winger that needed to be yoked to actual needle moving 1st overall centres.

If the rest of the read into Marner's motivations is accurate, then any player that wants to leave because he wasn't being properly feted like an emperor getting his dangly bits routinely gargled by the front office and fans should definitely look for that somewhere else.

I was kind of mad to hear the Leafs even offered him an 8 year deal, tbh.
 
Except he held out until Dec on his 2nd contract.

Yep! but the whole time he expressed he wanted to stay in Toronto at a number and term that wouldn't be so perfunctory to trade away.

He also only had positive things to say about Toronto, despite being treated arguably worse by the media and fans than anything Marner had experienced.

Dubas and the front office believed Nylander's second contract would be a reasonable anchor point for Marner's, and tried to get him starting with 5, a la Kadri/Rielly. *laughs in PTSD*
 
I disagree. This was not the only quote to that effect:

May 2024:


Within 30 days of that quote, a month before they could sign an extension, Treliving wasn't flying to Arizona to re-sign him - Treliving was talking to the media about trading Marner. Why should a player of Marner's stature want to continue to play in a place where his GM doesn't want him? Matthews was a priority. Marner wasn't.
Yes, that's the quote and media availability I'm referring to. Lock clean-out interviews of May 2024. Honestly, I don't see a player that's particularly interested in extending with the team, but, even if you do, there's the actions of his camp. Fact is, getting Marner on a new contract wasn't an option available to Treliving.
 
Yep! but the whole time he expressed he wanted to stay in Toronto at a number and term that wouldn't be so perfunctory to trade away.

He also only had positive things to say about Toronto, despite being treated arguably worse by the media and fans than anything Marner had experienced.

Dubas and the front office believed Nylander's second contract would be a reasonable anchor point for Marner's, and tried to get him starting with 5, a la Kadri/Rielly. *laughs in PTSD*
He also didn't hold it against the org for doing so and signed a second extension. I mean come on. Do we really think Marner's camp wouldn't have made this into some sort of massive affront?

Anyway the original point was do we really need our best offensive players playing in all situations when in the end they can't score when they need it? Do we need players like Matthews blocking shots and risking a fracture? It's an open debate and lots of teams don't play their very best offensive forwards on the PK. Mackinnon doesn't play PK, McDavid either.
 
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This is very funny to me
 
The Athletic's system is one of the better ones for this kind of stuff. They're generally more accurate and data driven factoring multiple years of individual performances.

Meanwhile, HockeyViz has Reimer playing more than 1/4 of the Leafs' games, and he's not even signed to a real contract. They also seem heavily influenced by last year's performances.
 
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