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  1. IJustLurkHere

    2018-2019 NHL Thread

    He can go to Finland once he scores. Send him to Sweden!
  2. IJustLurkHere

    Trade deadline moves

    Ah, fair enough. Is that a statement of opinion or fact? I.e is there relative data, or are you just pointing out that the Leafs have won a lot of home games?
  3. IJustLurkHere

    Trade deadline moves

    Freakonomics radio did an episode where they worked with some people who had studied home field advantage, and found that the data says it?s real. They concluded the explanation was involuntary referee bias. For anyone interested the Freakonomics episode can be found here...
  4. IJustLurkHere

    Avalanche @ Leafs - Jan. 14th, 7:00pm - TSN4, Fan 590

    No. Hockey fandom is a wide church, but anyone who was booing Gardiner is a moron. There is literally nothing easier in the world than being a sports fan: cheer for the guy wearing your jersey. There is no upside to booing, there is downside, the boo birds people just failed at life?s easiest...
  5. IJustLurkHere

    Wild @ Leafs - Jan. 3rd, 2:00pm - SNO, Fan 590

    I like this... >105 seems a pretty good benchmark for "don't panic" status. Over the last 10 years, a handful of teams (at least 3 with a high water mark of 7) achieve >105 every year. Keeping in mind that points are a zero-sum game (i.e for any team to get a larger share, someone else needs a...
  6. IJustLurkHere

    Nylander signs 6-year contract

    Isn't Herman saying that the second group of bars are the more controllable effects, and the ones that matter? i.e. shots share is more controllable than points? Or am I missing something?
  7. IJustLurkHere

    Jays Roster Discussion

    Smoak put up an .808 OPS with little protection while being a finalist for a gold glove, so I don?t think his being #1 Jay is the damning indictment you are making out. The team won 73 games in 2018, they?re obviously more than a single player away.
  8. IJustLurkHere

    Jays Roster Discussion

    What did you think was going to happen to ?the soul of the team??Donaldson should be focused on staying on the park, because if he can?t, he?s not getting another $23M deal next year. Even if Anthropolous has stayed - and remember, he wasn?t fired - he had traded all his chips for those 2 runs...
  9. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    I don't think where Nylander is at right now represents "going to the mattresses" though (nice line), as it sounds like (touch wood) things are going to get resolved. Where it seems to be with Nylander is that a ~$300k difference over ~6 years is ~$1.8 million, and that's worth taking some time...
  10. IJustLurkHere

    Jays Roster Discussion

    Well, sorry if you've had this conversation, because every time I see something like the above, I literally think of all the people who used to say "the Leafs can never rebuild". The Jays have pretty clearly been rebuilding. They tried to hedge on Donaldson and it blew up in their face, but if...
  11. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    Well, as I said, it's thought bubble of "I bet you could make the numbers work, so I wonder if someone has and I've just never heard of it because it's too mundane for news" rather than carefully considered business case of "someone should do this", but to hash it around a bit: - Would either...
  12. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    Exactly... unemployment insurance. You'd take out a policy which said "I will pay x into insurance fund y. Then when I'm negotiating an RFA deal if negotiations aren't going well, I can continue to get paid out of the fund". It would work on the one to many principle that any given year, few...
  13. IJustLurkHere

    what will Willie boy sign for?

    Topic is locked so I can't grab the quote, but FTR, #12877 was in the 2014-15 NHL thread: It will remain a classic.
  14. IJustLurkHere

    Jays Roster Discussion

    I find it really odd the difference in fan perceptions between the Leafs rebuild and the Jays rebuild. When the Leafs finally tore it down everyone breathed a sigh of relief and got on board with the tank. When the Jays have now much more pragmatically recognised that the 2015 & '16 teams were...
  15. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    I've found myself wondering (i.e. I really don't know) whether there's some sort of income protection insurance available to pro athletes to cover these situations. It would seem to me there should be a market, as relatively few actually pursue a lengthy dispute, but it's valuable to be able to...
  16. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    That would be awesome. I hope that not only is it true, but that going forward that Dubas tips all his transactions this way.
  17. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    Management won't be so emotional over it. It may well go down to the wire if both sides believe the other is going to ease their demands as the window closes, but that's just tactics. Any attempt to be punitive would be a risk to a deal getting done.
  18. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    I've thought a while that one of the most interesting things about the standoff is that is IS hypothetical - there's a total lack of info and leaking to the media. The TO/Leafs press is voracious (many wouldn't put some of them past making stuff up entirely...) but all we've had is: 1) "Nylander...
  19. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    Without necessarily disagreeing... 7 years of $400k is $2.8 million dollars. At some point it?s real money.
  20. IJustLurkHere

    Contracts for the Big-3

    As far as fan expectations go, maybe, but if you're Dubas right now, you've got a 1 Dec deadline to decide that the Leafs are or are not going to be contenders. If you decide yes, you need to maximise the assets by either signing or trading Nylander. While it's theoretically possible to both...
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