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  1. IJustLurkHere

    What Now?

    The NHL playoffs haven?t worked that way for 10 years. The current format offers no insight into how the team would fare outside of the division. There are a bunch of ways to try and answer that question. If you?re not comfortable with the regular season?s rankings, the NHL does try to account...
  2. IJustLurkHere

    2022-23 Toronto Maple Leafs General Discussion

    Best reason to extend him right now may be exactly that. If Dubas feels it's win in the first round or get fired, there's an incentive to do something dramatic and short sighted. Otherwise, while optimistic about this particular iteration of the Leafs, I can't see a rush to commit.
  3. IJustLurkHere

    2022 NHL Draft Discussion

    No. Plenty of reasons to dislike and even fire Dubas, just use any of those. Management 101 is to measure employees on inputs not outputs. Winning playoff rounds is clearly an output. My main point though was that your lazy consensus doesn?t exist.
  4. IJustLurkHere

    2022 NHL Draft Discussion

    Firing Dubas for the team not winning playoff rounds would be the kind of reactionary mistake the Leafs used to make in the 80s. The GM's contribution is to put the best roster together he can. Unless the new guy can guarantee playoff success, which nobody can, that's a bad metric to replace...
  5. IJustLurkHere

    2021-2022 NHL Thread

    Or, when you're down by 2, should you pull the goalie with.... 13 minutes left? Here's what a couple of economists say https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3132563
  6. IJustLurkHere

    Jays Roster Discussion

    Wow, okay. I don?t love giving away Galvis just to open up a roster spot or anything, but if you?re actual smart business guy, try weighting the actual outlook of the team as parts of the rebuild are coming to fruition - they actually look pretty good right now - against your arbitrary ?bad...
  7. IJustLurkHere

    Jays Roster Discussion

    The impression I have is that Atkins just doesn?t factor in the trade-by-trade micro-analysis into his decision making. One of the reasons the NHL trade market has dried up so much is that GMs are scared of ?losing? every deal... Atkins seems unperturbed by the fan disquiet at ?giving away? a...
  8. IJustLurkHere

    Marleau being shopped around

    I like the logic... but, it feels like a story I tell myself to pursuade myself it?s all going to turn out the way that?s best for me. Back when Marleau signed this deal, everyone said ? I wish it had been for 2 years instead of 3? with exactly this in mind. The catch was, he was only...
  9. IJustLurkHere

    Babcock will be back next season

    Is there any evidence for this, or is it an extrapolation of the scapegoating that?s been going on since before the playoffs even started? I think anointing an AHL coach the solution in Toronto would be great theatre in the media, not sure it would be great for the Leafs themselves.
  10. IJustLurkHere

    Babcock will be back next season

    This sums up how I feel... if the same series had been in round 2 (old playoff format), the response would be more balanced. It seems like many are taking their own bugbears and presenting them as evidence of a problem I?m not sure exists, and then declaring Babcock under a pressure I?m not sure...
  11. IJustLurkHere

    Game 6: Bruins @ Leafs - Apr. 21st, 3:00pm - CBC, Fan 590

    Some economists did a paper on when hockey teams should pull the goalie a while back and concluded that it?s actually much earlier than anyone (including Babcock) is doing it, but since coaches are perceived better if the team only loses by 1 or 2 goals, they really only pull the goalie for show...
  12. IJustLurkHere

    Leafs @ Flyers - Mar. 27th, 7:00pm - SNO, Fan 590

    Never argue with a fool or a drunk. They bring you down to their level then beat you with experience.
  13. IJustLurkHere

    Panthers @ Leafs - Mar. 25th, 7:00pm - TSN4, TSN 1050

    He?s had a great year, but given that 6 of his goals were empty net, I think it?s likely we?re looking at the high water mark for Zach Hyman?s production.
  14. IJustLurkHere

    Leafs @ sens - Mar. 16th, 7:00pm - CBC, Fan 590

    Sorry to pick out a single point from a really good post, and then take it on a tangent... but I have been wondering what the sports science guys do with the various NHL teams training regimens when they?re in a position like a Leafs/Bruins or particularly Tampa. I?d presume there?s some sort...
  15. IJustLurkHere

    Canadiens @ Leafs - Feb. 23rd, 7:00pm - CBC, Fan 590

    What will YOU say if they miss? Will having played Chicken Little for months beforehand somehow make you feel better about it? Honestly curious...
  16. IJustLurkHere

    2019 MLB Thread

    Going by that article, this is not the biggest contract in the history of MLB...
  17. IJustLurkHere

    Matthews signs 5 year contract, $11.634mil AAV

    So, criticising the GM for being ?fine with paying market value? seems like a strange place to set the bar of expectation. Am I misunderstanding? Also, if you?re basing your cap number on Eichel, remember that in October 2017 when he signed his deal, it was under a cap of $75M. The difference...
  18. IJustLurkHere

    Contract: Skittles Edition

    When the law is on your side, argue the law. When the facts are on your side, argue the facts. When neither is on your side, puns the table and make a loud emotional speech. Of course Marner?s agent doesn?t accept Cs are more valuable than the wingers. Similarly, the Leafs will be convinced...
  19. IJustLurkHere

    Matthews signs 5 year contract, $11.634mil AAV

    I am thrilled we got Matthews signed under $12AAV. Should he walk in 5 years, I may change my mind, but otherwise, I like that both sides turned away from the 8 year deal... at his age, he could still sign an 8 year deal in 5 years, in a new cap reality. I was quietly thinking 13+/8 years...
  20. IJustLurkHere

    Is it panic time yet?

    This. I think the whole Babcock narrative, the "they're too soft" narrative etc are overcomplicating a pretty simple situation: The Leafs are built to score a lot, and they're not. Since Christmas: Rielly has 3 points in 11 games (and is still PPG as a DMan for the season) Matthews has 9 in...
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