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Preseason: Leafs @ Canadiens - Sept. 30th, 7:00pm - TSN, TSN 1050

CarltonTheBear

CarltonTheBear

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https://twitter.com/LeafsPR/status/1708127254734098439

Knies, Gregor, Robertson, Holmberg, Abruzzese, and Minen all playing back to back. Brodie and Benoit making their pre-season debuts. Minten set to play in his 4th pre-season game.

Leafs play a 3rd game in 4 nights on Monday, so likely saving more of a NHL-looking roster for that game and the final 2 after that.
 
https://twitter.com/markhmasters/status/1708130549225632192

Montreal with the more NHL-looking line-up, with what I guess is probably mostly their top-6 forwards playing.
 
Line guess!

Knies-Minten-Robertson
Gregor-Holmberg-Clifford
Hirvonen-Cowan-Tverberg
Abruzzese-Slavin-Steeves

Rielly-McCabe
Brodie-Niemela
Benoit-Rifai

Split
 
Robertson's 20th shot of the preseason finally goes in. Thinking more about wingers who always took a lot of shots without scoring, but still created value as regulars on the team:
  • Is Robertson better than Engvall?
  • Is Robertson better than Mikheyev?
 
Nicky Bobby incurs an unjust penalty (shoved into the goalie) but springs out of the box on a breakaway and buries the 3-0 dagger.

https://x.com/tictactomar/status/1708278330548420623
Refs in playoff form
https://x.com/tictactomar/status/1708278640218120580
Keefe in mid season form
https://twitter.com/mapleleafs/status/1708278889296850950
Robby with authority
 
Refs seem to be trying to get Montreal into the game with PPs, but it is so moribund that the Leafs actually generate momentum off their PKs.
 
yuzisee said:
Jones has been beaten 10 times in 2.5 preseason games, but 6 of them hit the post/crossbar.
Click to expand...
Doesn't work that way. A post doesn't count as a shot so he wasn't beaten 10 times. With that logo e you should count shits that are wide that "beat" him. 
 
Guilt Trip said:
yuzisee said:
Jones has been beaten 10 times in 2.5 preseason games, but 6 of them hit the post/crossbar.
Click to expand...
Doesn't work that way. A post doesn't count as a shot so he wasn't beaten 10 times. With that logo e you should count shits that are wide that "beat" him. 
Click to expand...

100% agree.

The tricky part is that goalie performance requires a large sample size to avoid jumping to conclusions, and based on recent analysis
https://twitter.com/IneffectiveMath/status/1638556996898045956
a full season isn't even close to enough to characterize a goalie (let alone a few pre-season games).

The goalposts & crossbars is just a reminder that Jones' true ability level might be very different than what we've seen so far, due to small sample sizes alone.
 
For me, and I guess for coaches, I?m weighting recent goaltending performance of greater importance than long term samples. I?d save that level of evaluation for general managers determining what cap hit and term they?re negotiating towards. It is also very hard to divorce goaltending performance (and scorekeeper bias) from the players and system in front of them
 
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