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The cupboard is bare because that's the way that NHL teams are run. Tampa Bay hasn't made a pick in the first round since 2019 (no 2025 pick either), and Florida hasn't since 2021 (no 2025 pick). The Bruins have selected twice in the first round in that time. Those are the teams the Leafs have...

You're right, a 12 game stretch is not enough to justify that, which is why any Knies contract will wait - that was the point of the Byfield comparison. TML would be reluctant to put him on Byfield status today (reasonable), but if Knies scores 30+ (plausible), looking at contracts signed in...

I think both sides just wait it out at this point. If I'm Knies I sign for $7.5 x 5... but if I'm the Leafs, that's a BIG reach. If you take the deals for wingers at/above what you implied @ 6 you've got Hagel, $6.5Mx 8 as a 24yo, and he scored 75 pts (36 goals). Next winger up from the last 12...

If I were Knies, at 6 I think I'd just bet on myself to continue producing. I think we're past the point where there's any discount for early signing. Wingers who got 6 last year included Tyler Tiffoli (33 g, 32 yo, $6M x 4), Owen Tippett (28g, 25yo, $6.2M x 8), Tom Wilson(WTF, 29yo x 7)...

I've been thinking this. The Marner stuff now reminds me a lot of the people back in the day who really wanted Sundin to be Lindros and couldn't let go of Gilmour/Clark. Right down to statements about how the Leafs would never win with Sundin as Captain, and then declaring themselves correct...

Brian Burke, is that you? It's a fun narrative. Hire a GM in 2018, and then fire him after 3 (winning) seasons. Hire an up and coming coach, then fire him after his first full season in the job. How could Shanahan have missed it.