Author Topic: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion  (Read 17454 times)

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Online herman

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #195 on: October 16, 2017, 10:37:36 AM »
If you have any interesting in the microstats of the defense corps, you can find them consolidated here!

http://dissecttheblueline.weebly.com/leafs.html

Not including Game 1 vs the Jets:
Quote
iCF contributions on the PP
    I put this together to directly measure Gardiner vs Rielly on the PP and couldn't believe the distance between the two. For this portion I just added shot attempt assists + shot attempts on the PP and put it into /60 format. Mind you, this is with just over 32 minutes of combined data but here's the result.

Rielly 59.99/60
Gardiner 23.24/60

Rielly is basically a 5th forward on the PP, who can also skate backwards. Not much of a shot though.
« Last Edit: October 16, 2017, 10:41:39 AM by herman »

Online herman

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #196 on: October 18, 2017, 10:14:18 AM »
It's so, so, so early to judge these signings, but why not?

Aaltonen (March 17, 2017): On the Marlies as expected, but quite a bit feistier and more skilled than his stat-lines suggested. Trails only Soshnikov and Rychel with shots on goal having only played 4 of the 5 games.

Bracco (March 21, 2017): Has only just started his season (2 GP) with the Marlies due to a bout of mono over the summer and losing what little weight he had to begin with. He has a tough climb ahead of him

Ben Smith (May 2, 2017): Don't look now, but Smith is leading the Marlies in scoring at a point per game. I like him on the Marlies. Please stay there.

Zaitsev (May 2, 2017): Looks solid and more confident. It was largely the back half when he tired that things started looking bleak. He mentioned last season that he trained slightly wrong, and dumped too many EVs into his Physical Attack stat instead of Speed and HP. Playing with Gardiner sure helps, but he's still getting the hard match every night and no PP time.

Rosén (May 16, 2017): Looking a bit lost in the NHL game speed, but there's an adjustment period. His wheels are beautiful, but his game think is suspect. No PP time means we'll probably only very rarely see his shot this season. Confidence does wonders though and that hopefully comes as his cushy zone starts builds up his performance.

Borgman (May 16, 2017): Younger, but better than Rosén in terms of toolkit and development runway. I didn't think he'd get big league time so soon, but he's been relatively steady for a rookie. I don't mind Babcock carouseling them.

McElhinney ( June 30, 2017): Looked both extremes during pre-season. Let's see what happens tonight. Probably won't get hooked regardless due to Andersen's rest requirements.

Hainsey (July 1, 2017): As advertised, he has been boring so far, and can still move. Doesn't quite have the instinct on break outs when we're hemmed in (so very few do), but he's so smart at the blue line and positions himself very efficiently along the boards.

Marleau (July 2, 2017): Also as advertised, he has been a solid depth contributor both on offense and defensively. If he wins the Cup with us, what jersey does he wear for the HHoF induction?

Hyman (July 5, 2017): People are hating him on the top line less. Probably because he's showing more confidence with the puck and potting goals. His play without the puck is as superb as it was last season and might be even better now that he's starting to pick his spots to box out plays for Matthews and Nylander to fly by.

Liljegren (July 12, 2017): So glad he decided to stay in Toronto, and so glad it's with the Marlies instead of being forced onto the Leafs (deeeeeppppppptttthhhhh). He is adjusting to the new country and NA game, which means he is leading the defense in shots and points so far (4 GP, 1G, 2A, 8SOG), and also in this extremely small sample size, out producing Kapanen (4GP, 2G, 0 A, 7SOG).

Brown (August 26, 2017): Brown is playing like it's his contract year; he's just flying into the forecheck and backcheck. Playing every phase of the game helps him get the minutes he should be getting higher up in the lineup. He doesn't drive play on his own, but playing alongside skill, he is a very good complement.

Online herman

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #197 on: October 18, 2017, 11:53:17 AM »
https://mapleleafshotstove.com/2017/10/18/leafs-notebook-early-look-ice-time-distribution-october-18/

Great stuff looking into our personnel usage at the moment. Lots of role-based usage (Carlton mentioned the PK times in the Capital's GDT). Glaring hole on 4LW in that it is being filled by someone who has a very specific utility.

Quote
5) I think the rotation where Babcock sneaks Marleau or Kadri with Matthews and Nylander after a penalty kill is really effective. I’d look to continue doing that. I’d also consider sneaking Marner in with those two a little more often. Coming out of a penalty kill, the Leafs might be the most dangerous team in the league. It’s a huge swing in momentum.

This is so fun. It also breaks Corsica data pulls unless you specify the right TOI boundaries, because they crazy.

Offline Dappleganger

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #198 on: October 18, 2017, 01:18:52 PM »
Anyone feeling the same way? Leafs No. 1 in the TSN power rankings:

http://www.tsn.ca/turning-over-a-new-leaf-in-7-eleven-power-rankings-1.885880

Online cabber24

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Upon the wicked He will rain Jerseys; blue and white and burning waffles will be the portion of their cup.

Online Zee

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #200 on: October 18, 2017, 01:32:58 PM »
Anyone feeling the same way? Leafs No. 1 in the TSN power rankings:

http://www.tsn.ca/turning-over-a-new-leaf-in-7-eleven-power-rankings-1.885880
Vegas co-favorites as well...

https://www.msn.com/en-ca/sports/news/maple-leafs-now-betting-favourites-to-win-the-stanley-cup/ar-AAtGRRI?li=AAggNb9

Some dude on TSN had their "pro-line best bets" yesterday and said to take the Caps and the Sabres over the Leafs and Golden Knights.  I guess whoever followed his advice last night is wondering why today.

Online herman

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #201 on: October 20, 2017, 08:09:56 PM »
https://hockeypdocast.com/2017/10/19/ep-200-top-10-goalies/

Normally something like this would be posted in the general NHL thread, but if you scroll to about 47:20 it becomes a lot more relevant surprisingly.

Online herman

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #202 on: October 22, 2017, 03:42:38 PM »

Heeeey. Points per ice time.

Offline hockeyfan1

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #203 on: October 22, 2017, 06:03:33 PM »

Heeeey. Points per ice time.


Don't like where Marner stands here.  Quite accurate in showing his production this year.  Not a good trajectory to have.  Improvement required.

Online herman

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #204 on: October 23, 2017, 09:26:32 AM »
https://hockeypdocast.com/2017/10/19/ep-200-top-10-goalies/

Normally something like this would be posted in the general NHL thread, but if you scroll to about 47:20 it becomes a lot more relevant surprisingly.

More specific (podcast) conversation about the Leafs' goalie situation:
https://soundcloud.com/leafs-geeks/episode-64-goaltending-analysis-with-nick-mercadante

Online herman

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #205 on: October 23, 2017, 10:11:20 AM »
Pointless observations from hockey-reference and corsica.hockey:

Matthews: 8 GP 7G 5A 12Pts
Last season, it took Matthews 20 games to reach 7 goals (4 goals in Game 1).

Nylander: 8 GP 3 G 6A 9 Pts
He was faster last season to reach these totals (3G in 5 games, 10 pts in 8 GP), but they were all in losing efforts. He didn't go more than 3 games without a point last year.

Hyman: 8GP 3G 2A 5Pts
Zach Hyman reached 3 G after 22 GP last season. He got it in 7 this season.

Kadri: 8GP 4G 4A 8Pts
It took Kadri 10 games last season to reach 4 goals and 8 points.

Brown: 8GP 3G 2A 5Pts
It took 17 games for Brown to score 3 goals last season and he did it this year in 7 games playing mostly 4th line minutes (all his goals are EV, two of them with JvR-Bozak though).

Rielly: 8GP 1G 6A 7Pts
The added PP time has given Rielly's counting stats a small boost (1G 3A -- all secondary assists).

Fun comparison on the PP though where Rielly's lack of point-shot is not holding him or Kadri's PP unit back:
TOIGAP1CFCAGFGAxGFxGAiCFiCF/60
Gardiner21.31123011313.441.1238.45
Rielly20.75131554607.020.111337.59

Hainsey: 8 GP 0G 6A 6Pts
Hainsey has doubled his production with Pittsburgh in half the number of games played. He hit 6 pts with Carolina at 17 games.
« Last Edit: October 23, 2017, 10:15:31 AM by herman »

Offline Nik the Trik

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #206 on: October 23, 2017, 12:11:03 PM »

Fehr on Waivers, according to Mckenzie.
Give a man the reputation of an early riser and he can sleep 'til noon
-Mark Twain

Online herman

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #207 on: October 23, 2017, 12:11:42 PM »
Which means Rosen might be back sooner rather than later.

Online CarltonTheBear

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #208 on: October 23, 2017, 12:15:46 PM »
They weren't going to keep rotating Fehr and Moore forever and Moore looked like the better player. I'll give Fehr credit though he was better than I was expecting. That might earn him a claim from somebody.

Offline WhatIfGodWasALeaf

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #209 on: October 23, 2017, 12:26:18 PM »
Yeah, the Fehr waiving basically covers the cost of Polak.

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Re: 2017-18 Toronto Maple Leafs - General Discussion
« Reply #209 on: October 23, 2017, 12:26:18 PM »