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Messages - herman

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16
NHL Transactions / Re: Brassard to Penguins
« on: Yesterday at 03:41:31 PM »

17
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 03:25:37 PM »
The earlier part of the conversation was about how no one was quite sure if Lou was really in on a trade potential or just dabbling because he would always really lowball it on the first pass.

So we've made an offer for McDonagh, but it was on the lower end of everyone else's pitch.

18
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 03:09:53 PM »
This was part of a larger discussion about how the Leafs should move forward. Leafs stuff starts at 42:50 (Soundcloud); this conversation is a bit past the McDonagh talk. Transcription errors are mine, if any.

Dreger: I pulled a page off Bob's playbook and I contacted a couple of general managers today just specific to James van Reimsdyk, and I asked, "What would the market be for James van Reimsdyk." And the response that I got, "He'd be top of the class. He'd be the highest ranked forward."

LeBrun: You mean on July 1st? Or you mean, right now...

Dreger: Today! It would be a first, it would be an A prospect or a couple of prospects, and again that traditional conditional pick. You're talking about 4 key pieces! So, you know, for Lou to weigh it, to, you know, err on the side of 'well, let's see how we do in the playoffs because there's value in the experience of that process' versus getting all of that and maybe getting in the OEL sweepstakes or something like that in the offseason? That's curious.

19
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 02:42:59 PM »
I have the Bobcast queued up, but haven’t had a chance to dive into it yet to get Dreger’s actual annunciation to determine whether he meant ‘a prospect’ or ‘A prospect’.

I was thinking of shopping JvR to the Islanders/Devils/Flyers/Hurricanes to see who wants to jump to the top of the pile.

20
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 01:31:16 PM »
Bolded made me laugh.

That was indeed (and usually is) my intention!

If the Leafs do anything with their expiring UFAs, it'll be towards a non-rental core augmenter, but more likely to be drawing from the pool of prospects rather than the UFAs.

I'm trying to remember who did this, but an unofficial poll of some GMs about what they'd pay for JvR at the deadline was pretty high (1st rd pick, top prospect, plus). I can see the Metro division clawing over one another for him. I can see the offense-by-committee teams taking a healthy swing too.

Oh it was Dreger?

He probably only polled Nonis, so nvm

21
Yes, Hyman - Nylander - Brown worked very well.
Kapanen adds a similar dimension to when Marner was with Bozak and JvR (NZ carry), but he'll be faster and more straightforward about it. Actually pretty reminiscent of a faster, more responsible Kessel, minus the shot.

This is also fun:

22
I'm surprised they did this prior to locking down Tavares.

Most people seem to see this as something to entice Tavares to stay.

Look, we've signed that guy who helped you help this team get to the mushy middle, oooooh

23
I'm surprised they did this prior to locking down Tavares.

24
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 12:10:41 PM »
Is there somewhere I could see a list of the Schedule B opportunities Matthews has at the $2M?
I'm guessing there's top 10 G, top 10 Gpg, scoring awards, etc.

Chris Johnson broke down everyone's potential bonuses last season here: http://www.sportsnet.ca/hockey/nhl/maple-leafs-rookie-success-hurt-teams-cap-situation/

He says his schedule B bonuses are only for top-10 in goals or top-10 among forwards in goals per game.

Wouldn't you know it, it's the exact article I was looking at prior to posting, but I didn't scroll down past the prose because I remembered reading it last year.

25
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 12:08:01 PM »
Bolded made me laugh.

That was indeed (and usually is) my intention!

If the Leafs do anything with their expiring UFAs, it'll be towards a non-rental core augmenter, but more likely to be drawing from the pool of prospects rather than the UFAs.

I'm trying to remember who did this, but an unofficial poll of some GMs about what they'd pay for JvR at the deadline was pretty high (1st rd pick, top prospect, plus). I can see the Metro division clawing over one another for him. I can see the offense-by-committee teams taking a healthy swing too.

26
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 11:55:25 AM »
Also, keeping Matthews (artificially) outside of the top 10 in goal scoring frees up even more space next season with his reduced performance bonus ($2M for Schedule B, right?).

That can be reached on a goals per game, so he basically has that locked down.

Is there somewhere I could see a list of the Schedule B opportunities Matthews has at the $2M?
I'm guessing there's top 10 G, top 10 Gpg, scoring awards, etc.

27
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 11:28:34 AM »
Looking at the replay, how serious could the Matthews injury be?  Even if it's a separated shoulder, that should only be weeks for recovery depending on how severe.  Not like it's a leg/knee issue that would take months.

That being said, I think his injury 100% changes what the Leafs plan to do at the deadline.  If worst case he's out long term, they'll most likely try to add more futures by unloading expiring contracts, the fans will understand too.

Yeah I'd be pretty surprised if this was something that ended his season or something like that.

I'd give him extra rest if anything. Our spot is locked. Give Willy a spin centering Hyman and Leivo (showcase!) behind Kadri's line.

Also, keeping Matthews (artificially) outside of the top 10 in goal scoring frees up even more space next season with his reduced performance bonus ($2M for Schedule B, right?).

I highly doubt that it turns them towards selling off JvR/Bozak/Komarov more readily. Players on the roster don't care about prospects and draft picks in return. If they're having a good season (we are), morale is damaged by selling off UFAs at the deadline unless there is a clear cut roster return (e.g. Bozak for Tavares).

28
Marlies & Prospect Talk / Re: Looking down the pipeline
« on: Yesterday at 10:44:55 AM »
Here's a deeper dive into:

29
Pfffft, he's probably just copying and pasting all this stuff from the Athletic because he knows nobody else reads it.

Come on.  The real story on herman {click here to log in or register for 9.99/month for the complete story}

Tweet me for a discount code.

30
Marlies & Prospect Talk / Re: Looking down the pipeline
« on: February 22, 2018, 10:05:27 AM »
https://mapleleafsnation.com/2018/02/13/leafs-geeks-podcast-microstats-with-andrew-berkshire/

LGP had a god sit down with Andrew Berkshire of Sportslogiq/Sportsnet recently about how microstats are tracked by their code and how they are categorized (i.e. successful plays) and how the Leafs grade out relative to one another. They talk specifically about Gardiner's turnovers around the 14 min mark.

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