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Messages - WhatIfGodWasALeaf

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Marlies & Prospect Talk / Re: Looking down the pipeline
« on: Today at 01:43:19 PM »

The "big mistake" phenomenon is mostly a matter of certain fans looking for it, it seems to me (i.e. confirmation bias). There's no real evidence to suggest that he's more prone to big mistakes than other defenceman. At the same time, there are plenty of analytic statistics to show that he's a strong defender.

I'd say outside of the back half of last season and the stretch since Reilly got hurt this season, he still was really prone to launching grenades in his own end.

When he is on though, he is a legit top three offensive dman and even on his worst day he is no worse than a #4.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Today at 01:29:41 PM »
In the LA LA Land Leafs front office in my head Dubas leaked this to the media so that he doesn't have to deal with the consequences down the line.

Marlies & Prospect Talk / Re: Looking down the pipeline
« on: Yesterday at 06:26:59 PM »
I really don't understand the criticism of Gardiner in his own end. He gives it away periodically (as all defenceman do) but his gap control and positioning are strong, which is probably why the Leafs get a lot more shots than the other team while he is on the ice.

The real defensive problems are the likes of Zaitsev and Polak, who are positionally wonky and often blindly fire it away when they do manage to get control.

You're right that Gardiner is a net positive and is of huge value to the team.

However, if you don't see that Gardiner is prone to the "big mistake" more than most other dman of his caliber/lineup slot, you are either lying, blind or not watching enough hockey aside from the Leafs.

I love Gardiner, but it's a love-hate relationship at times.

Marlies & Prospect Talk / Re: Looking down the pipeline
« on: Yesterday at 06:11:48 PM »
It's part of why I am a big proponent of moving the pending UFA's, if they can get another 1st somehow they'd have 4 picks in the top 60 and that's not to mention the rest of the potential return.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Fehr traded to the Sharks
« on: Yesterday at 05:01:15 PM »

Speculation, but I think they might be about to move a prospect/young player for a roster player and need to eat some garbage in return.

So the Leafs are required to won tonight as it's my last leafs game as a free man and I'm holding my tmlfans bachelor party right here in this GDT  8)


Only kidding, it's the best decision I ever made, congrats!

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 03:42:14 PM »
Sergachev is 19, is producing at approx 0.5ppg and is making under 1 million a year for the next two years.

Imagine him on the Leafs, what would it take to trade him in that scenario?

Imagine Liljegren is producing 0.5ppg next season, it'd take a franchise type player coming back for you to deal him, right?

That's not to mention the benefit of getting top 3 production from a dman at that price and how it allows you freedom to fill out the rest of the team.

Okay, so no to your idea.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: February 19, 2018, 06:45:37 PM »
Leafs are reported to have offered a 5th for Glendening. The Red Wings countered with an ask of a 2nd.

This was reported by "Wings Nation" are they a reputable outlet?

Marlies & Prospect Talk / Re: Looking down the pipeline
« on: February 19, 2018, 03:15:48 PM »
Yeah, remember Jake Gardiner is a success story of a forward transitioning to D and yet he is an absolute bomb scare in his own end.

Gordeev has a long way to go to even be half as good as Gardiner, but the raw skills he possesses are exciting when you consider his size.

Marlies & Prospect Talk / Re: Looking down the pipeline
« on: February 19, 2018, 12:57:50 PM »
Gordeev moves much better than Rasanen.

Gordeev is exciting because he is a huge dman that is quick, if he can round out his defensive game, he will be a top prospect.

He's still learning about gap control and other defensive fundamentals for now though.

Kapanen would have torn the back of the twine with that chance, thanks Mike.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: February 16, 2018, 09:49:30 PM »
If they do this it's proof positive that Dubas and his analytics department have become completely isolated and tuned out within the organization.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Soshnikov traded to the Blues
« on: February 16, 2018, 10:20:44 AM »
Yeah, it's a tough one.

I'd have liked to see a UFA moved to create a spot and I refuse to believe that Soshnikov who can skate, shoot and PK would be any more of a liability than JVR at 5v5 and I think he's already on par with Komarov with more offensive skill.

I want to give the management the benefit of the doubt, but I also don't feel comfortable just appealing to authority and twisting the narrative to suit whichever story makes the front office look most rational.

All that being said, I don't know what the trade market looked like and I don't know what Soshnikov is like off the ice.

I think we all look at the team like its plug and play, but there is a human element to all of this too and I think that plays more of a role than we are privy to. Fans and analytically inclined people often dismiss this because it's a variable that they can't quantify.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Soshnikov traded to the Blues
« on: February 15, 2018, 05:46:50 PM »
4th Rnd Pick 2019 in return.

Eichel has been able to focus on his GM duties to really help the team.

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