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Messages - cabber24

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1
UGH.  As much as I love John Tavares, he's probably in the 10-20 range in the league.  And in the NBA, the superstars drive your success more than they do in the NHL (see:  McDavid)

Tavares is who they traded, Matthews is closer comparison to who they got back.

So not to belabor this point, but I am totally going to labor this point.  It was a bit tongue in cheek. 

Kawhi Leonard has been described as a superstar.  One of the top 5 players in the league when he is at his best.  The pundits have said that they gave up a real good player to get him. 

I put John Tavares in the superstar category and above the real good player category.  Is he top 5 in the League?  At his best, possibly.  2015 was a monster year for Tavares.  He finished third in Hart trophy voting, and he was a 1st team all star.  He also finished third in the scoring race.  So he's three years removed from that, but he has gotten to that level before, and I don't think he has dropped off that much.     
TSN radio called Leonard the Patrice Bergeron of the NBA.

2
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM 2018-2019
« on: Yesterday at 03:31:32 PM »
Yawn, let's get this season started already!

The Leafs sign any veteran D on a short term contract yet? Sbisa? Hamhuis? Emelin?

3
My guess is Ujiri knows he's sort of on his last legs and is shooting the moon.
Ujiri's Hail Mary sort of like Beaston and Anthopoulos.

4
How would I slot them:

Gardiner - Rielly
Dermott - Holl
Marincin - Zaitsev

This is pretty much how I'd do it too.

I'd also be open to
Rielly - Dermott
Gardiner - Holl (Minnesotaaaaaaa)/Carrick
Marincin - Zaitsev

Gardiner - Rielly
Dermott - Zaitsev/Carrick
Marincin - Holl/Carrick

PP options*: Rielly, Gardiner, Dermott, Carrick, Zaitsev
PK options: Marincin, Zaitsev, Holl, Rielly

* Seeing as how the PP is driven through the right half wall, an LD at the top of the umbrella is preferred.

I'm just wondering, how do you 2 guys slot in a guy into the top-4 that has played a grand total of 2 NHL games, at age 26, that couldn't crack the roster the past 3 years?

And Marincin?  Again?  This is like TJ Brennen all over again, and that other guy I can't remember, and Corrado who was so unfairly treated but then couldn't make an NHL roster anywhere else...enough with these projects. 

Let's get a real top-4 RHS d-man that can play 20-25 minutes, and let the 6 other guys, including Holl, fight over who gets the press box for the season.

Yes, they're going to need to trade a nice asset to get that guy.
What he said... this group again? Really?

5
General NHL News & Views / Re: 2017-2018 NHL Thread
« on: July 17, 2018, 08:48:24 AM »
It's the summer, deep in the heart of no-hockey season. So let's play a game:
Re-draft this:
Brian Burke at the time said he would taken Reilly at #1 if he had the #1 pick. I remember thinking he was crazy for saying that but apparently not.

6
How would I slot them:

Gardiner - Rielly
Dermott - Holl
Marincin - Zaitsev

How would I slot them knowing there ain't no way Babcock isn't putting Hainsey in the lineup and the chances that Holl actually make the lineup are kinda low:

Gardiner - Rielly
Dermott - Zaitsev
Hainsey - Carrick

One interesting thing I learned over the summer is that Holl actually took a ton of PK shifts with the Marlies.  That might actually gain him a spot if he shows he can do it at the NHL level.
Two seasons now and we have done nothing externally to address the D. I think our D is brutal, it's been our downfall and will continue to be so. I suppose we think we will just kill teams with possession and scoring. Probably some truth to that but we still need D.

Hainsey 2 minute penalty kills? No thanks.

Andersen will have to be our MVP with all the grenades this D corp throws. What's the Shannaplan for our D? Bouwmeester? Sbisa? Hamhuis? Emelin?

Surely something can be done to improve this group.

7
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Armchair GM 2018-2019
« on: July 16, 2018, 10:43:13 AM »
Trade deadline D possibilities: Kronwall, Boumeester, Del Zotto, Edler, Lovejoy

8
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Kyle Dubas is new Leafs GM
« on: July 11, 2018, 02:05:25 PM »
https://canucksarmy.com/2017/12/15/h-is-for-hockey-related-revenues/

This is great article regarding team finances. Since teams are privately held the financials are not readily available. Thankfully Forbes was able to do an estimation that calculated a total revenue close to the number Bettman stated therefore the Forbes data provides some reliable insight.

Read the article. It's clear the Leafs contribution is substantial according to the cumulative operating income chart.

As indicated in the article small market teams can't afford the floor. The profitable teams vs the non-profitable gap is to big to maintain current CBA conditions. I think the goal of parity and profitability (for everyone) will have to include either the players taking less percentage of hockey related revenues or the introduction of a soft cap/luxury tax system.

A hard cap system is complete BS anyway, as it ignores the fact that no matter what, you will have teams that are going to perform better or worse financially.

Sharing the revenue 50/50 is ok.  The big thing missing is the ability to buy, sell or trade cap space.  There was about $110 million in unused cap space at the end of last season.  If you gave the richer teams the ability to acquire that cap space for cash or picks or players, it would do a lot to help out the smaller market teams.   
Yup, the balance between parity and profitability for all probably doesn't exist. If the Leafs want to spend, I think we will be able to flex our financial muscle post CBA negotiations.

9
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Kyle Dubas is new Leafs GM
« on: July 11, 2018, 11:00:00 AM »
Along these lines, how does playoff revenue feed back into the league revenue? Because the Leafs going deep into the playoffs is $$$$$...
3 home games for the second round: $350 average per seat x 17,000 seats x 3 games = $17,850,000 moves the cap needle $287,903.23 (17.85M x 0.5 / 31). That's just tickets sales for round two.

10
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: The Matthews Extension
« on: July 11, 2018, 10:53:33 AM »
Again, is the issue "deserving" or is the issue what his market value is. Because the RFA market exists and it is the leverage he can use. Even if it's just based on future potential, I'm pretty confident someone out there would have given Eichel that on a market if they thought Buffalo wouldn't just match it.

Yes, I understand what you mean by market value, and I'm using the term "deserving" based on the market value of similar players.

But you're kind of contradicting yourself here. On one hand, you're saying that no one would have been enticed to offer sheet Eichel given that Buffalo would simply match...on the other hand you're suggesting there's a threat there that drives up the salaries.  Which one is it, is it a real threat or not?

So in their extension years Draisaitl scored 29 goals and 77 points playing the vast majority of his time with Connor McDavid and Patrick Maroon. Eichel, in his extension year, scored at a 32 goal, 76 point pace playing with guys like Sam Reinhart, Marcus Foligno and Evander Kane.

Which A) looks pretty good for Eichel and B) raises the question of whether or not Draisaitl was actually playing C.

Right, but pretty damn close, and Draisaitl actually scored 29, not just a pacing number.

Draisaitl had just come through a playoffs where he scored 16 points in 13 games, 6 of them goals.  A near PPG guy, picked 3rd overall, and everyone thought Edmonton had lost their mind at $8.5m given Barkov and Scheifele, Huberdeau, and others.

I'm pretty sure that many people thought the market value was indeed NOT $10m X 8 for Eichel, but I stand by my initial statement which was they really wanted to make a commitment to him so that he'd be a happy Sabre...no one else seems to be a happy Sabre, and they certainly needed some stability.  Signing their top player to too much money to make him happy was likely a good move, in light of all the other shit that was going on.
I agree about Eichel, overpaid at the time of signing. Although not a "mistake" an understood over payment does set a new standard. It's not a Gomez contract but Eichel got more then others have been getting.

11
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Kyle Dubas is new Leafs GM
« on: July 11, 2018, 10:03:48 AM »
https://canucksarmy.com/2017/12/15/h-is-for-hockey-related-revenues/

This is great article regarding team finances. Since teams are privately held the financials are not readily available. Thankfully Forbes was able to do an estimation that calculated a total revenue close to the number Bettman stated therefore the Forbes data provides some reliable insight.

Read the article. It's clear the Leafs contribution is substantial according to the cumulative operating income chart.

As indicated in the article small market teams can't afford the floor. The profitable teams vs the non-profitable gap is to big to maintain current CBA conditions. I think the goal of parity and profitability (for everyone) will have to include either the players taking less percentage of hockey related revenues or the introduction of a soft cap/luxury tax system.

12
NHL Transactions / Re: Kucherov Re-Signs 9.5M/8 years
« on: July 10, 2018, 10:16:38 AM »
$9.5M seems very reasonable... state tax discount?

13
NHL Transactions / Re: Kucherov Re-Signs 9.5M/8 years
« on: July 10, 2018, 10:14:36 AM »
That’s a solid deal for Tampa and should take them out of the Karlsson trade.
I hope your right, go to Dallas or Vegas. Stay out of our way.

14
Former Leafs: Ex-Files / Re: Say Goodbye to Tyler
« on: July 10, 2018, 09:40:22 AM »

15
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Kyle Dubas is new Leafs GM
« on: July 09, 2018, 04:49:11 PM »
The Leafs will raise the cap themselves by being awesome.

As ridiculous as that may sound there's truth to it. No question, the NHL makes more when the Leafs are competitive. If the cap is $80M and the cap is determined by 57% of league revenues then league revenues equals $80M / 57% x 31 teams = $4.35B? Can anyone confirm the league revenue figure?

So if the Leafs want to move the cap themselves by $6M to pay for a Nylander it would require $326M more in revenues [(6M x 31 teams)/57%].


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