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Messages - bustaheims

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NHL Transactions / Re: Minor Transactions - 2018 Offseason
« on: August 09, 2018, 04:41:33 PM »

Just under Kadri's deal. And well under Tom Wilson's. (more UFA years on those two)

If he ever actually reaches the potential people think he has, that's a great contract.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Kyle Dubas is new Leafs GM
« on: August 09, 2018, 01:02:34 PM »
Here's a money question - is your PP#1 unit:

Tavares - net front
Marner - high right slot
Matthews - high left slot
Nylander - low boards left
Rielly - Point

Or do you split Tavares-Marner and Matthews-Nylander onto two separate PP units?

I think you split them up most of the time, but you have them practice as a unit for situation where the team really needs a goal on a late PP.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Media Thread
« on: August 07, 2018, 11:37:20 AM »
The $18 grilled cheese blows my mind. So does the $17 chili dog, and the $21 po' boy - which seems to completely go against the reason the po boys exists in the first place.

NHL Transactions / Re: Minor Transactions - 2018 Offseason
« on: August 02, 2018, 08:36:10 AM »
I must have missed this, but Stecher got bridged in Vancouver, $2.325 X 2.

He was supposed to be good, right?

He looks like he might be alright, but his numbers so far are underwhelming - though, he's doing better than most guys who go undrafted.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Contracts for the Big-3
« on: July 30, 2018, 02:41:38 PM »
Let's get a move on. The last thing Nylander needs is to be asked about it 32 times per day. Maybe Dubas is in cahoots with the media and is trying aggravate Nylander into less $.

William Nylander on contract talks: "Kyle says it's going to take some time so I'm not too stressed about it"

Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: 2018 Toronto Blue Jays General Season Thread
« on: July 27, 2018, 01:43:51 PM »
What would this qualifying offer look like?

It would be a one year deal at the average annual value of the top 125 contracts in MLB. For this past season, that was $17.4M. So, probably around $18M this time around.

Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: 2018 Toronto Blue Jays General Season Thread
« on: July 27, 2018, 12:35:30 PM »
Donaldson is going to walk. MVP asset squandered. This management is so indecisive they thought they owed the fans to stay competitive by doing... nothing? Huh?

Considering how his season has gone, there's a very real chance that Donaldson accepts his qualifying offer and tries to rebuild his value next season.

Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: 2018 Toronto Blue Jays General Season Thread
« on: July 27, 2018, 08:25:13 AM »
The return on Happ is pretty disappointing especially when trading within the division.  Im not sure how much more value he really held but getting a Solarte as best case infielder when we have 3-4 infielders pushing upward through the system seems disappointing.  Would have liked to have seen a pitching prospect involved in a few of these trades.

Yeah. I liked the Oh trade - getting a couple interesting prospects for a relief pitcher is a good haul - but the Happ trade is disappointing. Drury doesn't seem like he's going to amount to much, and the Jays are McKinney's 4th organization - which generally isn't a good sign for a player who only has 2 games MLB experience.

Ok Blue Jays Talk / Re: Jays Roster Discussion
« on: July 26, 2018, 08:28:16 AM »
Eh that seems like a pretty weak return to me. Both are 22, 1B playing A-ball. And Oh has a cheap option for next year. He should have been/be able to yield a better return than that..

For a reliever who isn't a closer, it's an excellent return - even with Oh's option for next season. Spanberger has put up huge power numbers, and is only in his 2nd professional season - which is why he's only in A-ball. Bouchard is less impressive, but also in his 2nd professional season and he's played more as an OF this season than a 1B.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Jake Gardiner
« on: July 17, 2018, 03:16:03 PM »
Well, I guess I disagree.  Trading JVR, Bozak, and Komarov, at last year's deadline would have helped solve some of the problems we have today.

I don't think you can let high value assets walk with no return anymore.  If he's intent on going to market, and won't sign a deal, I deal him at the deadline.

EDIT: Or right now, if we know he likely won't re-sign.

While I was all aboard trading JvR, Bozak, etc., at this past deadline, I disagree about Gardiner. For the guys we let walk this summer, it didn't appear as though the intention was to ever really attempt to retain them. I don't think that will be true with Gardiner. Unless he makes it crystal clear he has zero intention of even considering extending his time as a Leaf (which seems unlikely), you hold on to him as long as you can to get as much time to negotiate a new contract. If you can't come to an agreement, so be it - but, you're not holding on to a player you don't see is part of the future, like the team did with JvR, Bozak, etc. You're giving yourself the best opportunity to retain a player you want as part of your team long-term.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Jake Gardiner
« on: July 17, 2018, 01:04:19 PM »
The subject here is Gardiner and PPP's attempt to just cut off discussion of trading him.  Articles like that are at best disingenuous if the author thinks that a flood of analytics is going to simply override the fact that the player had his worst game of the season at the worst possible time.

If you're looking to build the best possible team, they're right. You have to ignore the one game sample instead of ignoring everything else he brings to the table.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Jake Gardiner
« on: July 17, 2018, 12:55:40 PM »
I think Gardiner's skill set is important to the team's fortunes this year, and he certainly isn't easily replaceable.

He had a bad game 7, really bad, and may have been a big reason they lost that game, but I don't think he's the reason they lost the series. 

I'm very curious to see how Dubas handles the situation of Gardiner coming up on UFA.

He was probably the team's best defenceman in games 1-6, so, you're absolutely right that he's not the reason they lost the series. In fact, he's a big part of the reason they even made it to game 7.

Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Jake Gardiner
« on: July 17, 2018, 12:46:45 PM »
That is a wonderful article and whatnot, but the fact is that he was all-caps AWFUL in the one game where it counted most.  So no, PPP, people aren't going to seriously stop criticizing him and wanting to trade him until he is not awful in a G7-type situation.

The whole team was awful in that game. They all basically disappeared after the first period. Only Gardiner gets singled out for it. Yes, he was bad, and he was victimized (by the Bruins and by some shaky goaltending), but, the amount of blame he gets for that game is disproportionate to his actual impact.

Gudas. Pysyk. Petry. Tulloch had a column with a several options.

Hard pass on Gudas - too high a risk of suspension to be relied upon day-in, day-out. Also, spends too much time in the penalty box (though, a good chunk of those minutes are fighting majors - so, not putting his team on the PK, but still putting his team down a defenceman for 5 minutes at a time). Would prefer to avoid Petry's contract, and what it would cost for Montreal to send him here.

Pysyk is intriguing, depending on the cost of acquisition.

Gardiner and Carrick were really good together in 16/17, and with Babcock's preference to pair LHD with RHD, I expect him to get more ice-time this season (especially since, looking at the value of the contract he signed, management appears to believe in him). Gardiner and Zaitsev, meanwhile, were not so good together. They need to be split up.

What I expect for to start the season is something like:


I agree with Frank on Holl - I think he's getting a little overvalued around here. To me, he seems to be more of a 6/7 at the NHL level, but a good top 4 guy for the Marlies, and I think management will prioritize his help in developing other pieces than having him play an inconsequential role on the big team. They may do the same for Marincin, but I can see Babcock wanting to keep him around as a sort of Polak replacement.

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