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Messages - bustaheims

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1
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 10:16:14 PM »
I think I'd rather trade Kapanen than the first.  Unless JvR was traded to recoup another first, then go nuts.

I'm pretty confident Kapanen is/will be as good, if not better, than the players who will be available when the Leafs' pick comes around - and he's already contributing at the NHL level. Rather have him now than a player who might be as good as him in 3 years. I mean, we're talking about a pick in the early to mid 20s. The players expected to be drafted in that range aren't super exciting. As long as the team doesn't make a habit out of moving 1st rounders, moving this year's instead of a solid piece like Kapanen is the smarter move, as their window to win the Cup should really open up next season.

2
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 09:27:29 PM »
My concern with McDonagh is the cost to acquire.  My hope is JvR goes out for some of the assets to get McDonagh.

Just no Lily, and keep at least 1 first.

As long as Kapanen, Dermott, and Liljagren aren't part of the deal, I'm not super concerned about the Leafs potentially including a 1st - but no more than 1.

3
General NHL News & Views / Re: 2017-2018 NHL Thread
« on: Yesterday at 09:10:45 PM »
Vegas is another team that I've seen mentioned with him. That'd be an interesting fit.

Yeah, he'd be a fit there, but I'm not convinced even they believe they'll be able to repeat their success next season. I expect them to stay away from big deals for now.

4
General NHL News & Views / Re: 2017-2018 NHL Thread
« on: Yesterday at 09:00:52 PM »
Well, the thing about any team that trades for him now is that they get 2 playoffs runs on his bargain deal, so there's plenty of time for them to have a look and see whether there truly is a dropoff or not.  The problem is that there seem to be very few clubs who are on the cusp and who have the assets to swing it.  Aside from TB, who's out there?  NSH doesn't need him, WSH probably doesn't have the assets, and ... ?

I think that's that larger issue, really. There's not that many teams that have the assets and the ability to take advantage of both those seasons (and who Ottawa is willing to deal with - I mean, the Leafs probably have the pieces to get it done, but there's no way Ottawa makes that deal. Imagine he leads the Leafs to a Cup? That would be a nightmare for the Senators' management.) Add in the anchor they're trying to attach to him named Bobby Ryan, and the list of teams willing and able to make the deal might just be zero.

I think the only other team possibly seriously in the mix at the deadline might be Dallas.

5
General NHL News & Views / Re: 2017-2018 NHL Thread
« on: Yesterday at 08:44:01 PM »
Karlsson is no doubt a smart fellow and he can see that his owner is a borderline nutcase, kind of a downmarket Ballard.  That can't be helping.

Borderline?

The problem for buyers is that there's no way to know if his dropoff this year is due to a no-heal heel or just the general sensishness of the sens.

Honestly, I think the idea that he's dropped off is getting over-stated. Sure, his numbers aren't where we've come to expect them to be, but they're still very very good - he's putting up a 63 point pace on a tire fire of a team, and after missing training camp and the beginning of the season. Factor in that it's quite likely he's very unhappy about his current situation, and, well, I'm confident saying he's still the same Erik Karlsson who's carried his team offensively the previous 4 seasons. While his heel may not be quite 100%, it's not having the impact people are attributing to it - and we'll see that when he's playing somewhere else in October.

6
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 08:31:41 PM »
They do have a half decent shot to go for a nice run.  Lou Lamoriello's job is not easy right now.  I'm not sure what I would do.

I don't know. It feels like a pretty easy choice to me. You look at how they're winning games, what the team looks like when they're playing against the better teams, etc., and it's pretty clear to me that they're not quite real Cup contenders yet, and deadline acquisitions aren't going to make a big enough difference. A couple small depth moves to shore up some holes, and hope the team finds some magic - that's the fairly obvious route here.

7
General Rumours & Speculation / Re: Tavares
« on: Yesterday at 08:26:40 PM »
You should easily be able to find someone who can provide his level of play or better for $1mil or less on a 1-year deal every summer, just like we did with Moore.

Yeah. His contract is probably the biggest negative, considering the market for players of his ability. If the Wings retained 50%, it would be a palatable hit, but it would still be two seasons too long. If he was on an expiring deal, he might be an interesting depth addition (with a different coach, though).

He's a replaceable part - and relatively easy one at that - who the Wings and others have overvalued.

8
General NHL News & Views / Re: 2017-2018 NHL Thread
« on: Yesterday at 08:24:42 PM »
I'm curious which part of it you have a problem with. I'd say first that Yost isn't claiming that he has some sort of inside source feeding him all this information. It's clear it's just the thoughts of a fan/follower (I mean there's a reason he posted it on his tumblr and not on TSN where he writes). But I think it's a paints a pretty accurate picture of what's been going on with Karlsson and the sens in the past year or two.

Yeah, that arguments he makes are very plausible - and, given his connections, I tend to believe him (especially since he's not trying to blow sunshine up people's asses). I think he's probably right - if Melnyk still owns the sens moving forward, Karlsson is playing somewhere else next season.

9
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Trade Deadline
« on: Yesterday at 01:21:36 PM »
As of last night, Bob McKenzie said he thinks Glendening rumors to Toronto are dead based on the Wings asking price and Leafs won't offer up a higher pick.  Rumor is Leafs offered a 5th rounder.

If Lou isn't completely put off by the media getting wind of the deal - especially specifics of the deal - I imagine they'll revisit it closer to the deadline. That being said, with the amount of out there, I think it's basically dead.

10
So, I know it's still early, but, with how far ahead the Leafs are from 4th in their division, I thought it would be fun to look at their magic number for eliminating teams from passing them. Because it's so early, I've ignored tie-breakers, as ROWs are still very much unsettled. These totals represent the total points gained by the Leafs or lost by the team chasing them that would guarantee the Leafs finish the season with more points:

Florida: 30
Detroit: 25
Ottawa: 21
Montreal: 20
Buffalo: 11

11
I dare say Anderson is our best goalie in a long long time

Best since pre-lockout Belfour, easily.

12
Im impressed with the way weve pressured them thus far.

Agreed. 5-on-5, the Leafs look far superior so far.

13
Marlies & Prospect Talk / Re: Looking down the pipeline
« on: February 20, 2018, 07:20:09 PM »
However, if you don't see that Gardiner is prone to the "big mistake" more than most other dman of his caliber/lineup slot, you are either lying, blind or not watching enough hockey aside from the Leafs.

Honestly, I'm not sure if that's true anymore. I think a lot of what gives that impression that people really harp on his mistakes, because he made a lot of them back when Carlyle was trying to make him something he's not. He definitely made more mistakes back then. I'm not convinced he does now. I strongly feel like there's some confirmation bias going on these days.

14
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Fehr traded to the Sharks
« on: February 20, 2018, 05:38:07 PM »
That was quick:


Couldn't even wait until I got to my car to leave the office. Seriously, Lou?

15
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Fehr traded to the Sharks
« on: February 20, 2018, 04:48:28 PM »
LeBrun is reporting that teams have contacted the Leafs about Fehr - who the Leafs clearly have no interest in keeping around (they've loaned him to Anaheim's AHL team). So, look for him to be moved before the deadline - and, really, probably to Anaheim.

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