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Messages - Hobbes

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1
I know you've all been waiting for my opinion, so wait no more:

1.  You play your best players when the game is on the line.  They're the ones that have earned it all year, and you count on them to get up.  DeBrusk is one of Boston's best forwards, he's a second line player that plays those minutes.  The Leafs also have players his age, and younger, that played a lot more the DeBrusk did/does.

2.  I think the Kadri suspension is where this series got decided.  That suspension really hurt the lineup.

3.  The Leafs counted on Andersen far too many times this year, and their luck ran out there.

4.  Gardiner had a bad game, oh well.  He's a 50 point defenseman this year, and one of the key guys that got this team into the playoffs.  If the Leafs could replay that period, I'm pretty sure they'd play Gardiner again in those minutes.

5.  I don't consider last night's game to be indicative of anything in particular, I'm more trying to look at the series overall.  The 7 game series did show me that Matthews and Nylander have a fair bit of work to do to earn $10-$11 mil and $6-$7 mil on my Leafs team.  Marner and Marleau played well. The newer kids played pretty darn well, all things considered.

6.  Young team, didn't get it done, not really surprised.  I'm looking forward to an interesting off-season.

It pains me to say it but I agree with everything that Frank wrote.

To me the series also reinforced the importance of winning draws, or at very least prevent clean opposition wins. Maybe the advanced stats say it doesn't matter, but to these eyes it sure seemed like we spent a lot of extra time in our zone and a lot less in theirs purely by our inability to start with control of the puck. I can think of 3 or 4 Boston goals that came immediately off a won draw, and far too many occasions where we had to withstand sustained pressure in our own zone after a faceoff. We paid after a number of our icings...the Bruins, rarely.

2
He's making a good case for having expended a 2nd round pick and a couple non-NHLers on him...good insurance for losing one of our other centers.

I would assume if Leafs didn't have Plekanec that this series would be 3-0 right now.
Tough to predict Kadri getting suspended but based off last game... Chances are high. We'd def be in bad shape without him.
I think it's more a case of "if we go deep chances are we'll lose at least a body or two along the way" and ensuring there's as much affordable depth in place as possible to cover that. You could think of Kadri as having a 3-game upper body injury (painful brain cramp)...

3
He's making a good case for having expended a 2nd round pick and a couple non-NHLers on him...good insurance for losing one of our other centers.

4
Main Leafs Hockey Talk / Re: Kadri suspended 3 games
« on: April 14, 2018, 01:55:46 PM »
Please don't start screaming that the NHL is biased against the Leafs. That's hab fan territory.

Kadri got exactly what he deserved. I would of been fine with 5 games as well. It was an extremely selfish play.

No one is screaming. We have a season's worth of penalty statistics that suggest that the Leafs are more likely to be penalized than the other team. The penalty disparity continued into the first game of the playoffs. And now we have a suspension that appears to be disproportionate to other playoff suspensions.

I don't tend towards being conspiratorial but when the statistics suggest something is up, it's not much of a leap to suggest that some decision-makers historically do not like the team and allow that to colour their decisions.

The problem is the Leafs are actually one of the least penalized teams.

http://www.nhl.com/stats/team?report=penalties&reportType=season&seasonFrom=20172018&seasonTo=20172018&gameType=2&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=penaltiesMinor

They sit very near the bottom for PIM/game, total PIM, minors, etc.

If there's a conspiracy perhaps it's in the lack of penalties called against our opposition since we're also in the 28th range on that

http://www.nhl.com/stats/team?report=powerplay&reportType=season&seasonFrom=20172018&seasonTo=20172018&gameType=2&filter=gamesPlayed,gte,1&sort=ppOpportunities

5
We've talked about Damon Severson before as a potential trade target. He's been a healthy scratch for 2 games in a row before tonight, which is of course pretty telling since the Devils are fighting for their playoff lives still. I wonder if there's a Severson-for-Zaitsev swap to be had in the offseason.

I was suggesting a JvR for Severson trade before the deadline, but I like your suggestion now that JvR will walk.

There's always the chance of selling the "early rights to talk to JVR" once the playoffs are done. Maybe a deal can be worked out.

6
Marner
Nylander

7
Could JVR had planned his UFA year any better? His agent must be salivating
Some team is going to throw something like 7x$7m at him (and regret it)

8
Almost every shift he's on the ice Kapanen does something that makes you sit up and go "wow." I can easily see him taking JVR's spot. He won't score as many goals but he's more responsible defensively and his speed will make space for his linemates. Put a decent center between he and Marner and it could be pretty darn fun to watch.

9
Marner...such magic
Johnsson...puck seemed to follow him all night too

10
Kadri
Andersen

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Something’s not working on that unit as they’re just trying outside shots. It’s not just Matthews and Nylander playing their shooting sides instead. And we are probably losing a key part of the first unit next season.

Since December 1st Matthews and Nylander have just 1 PP point each. That's 30 games for Matthews, 37 for Nylander. It's baffling.

Brown has 1 PP point and Marleau has 2 in that same span.

Ian Tullock had a theory about the lack of PP scoring by those two. Loosely he suggests it's because for most of that time they're playing on switched sides which doesn't favour their particular strengths. Full details in his Athletic article

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Non-Hockey Chatter / Re: The Donald
« on: February 26, 2018, 01:34:02 PM »
I'm pretty sure his bone spurs would prevent him running in there...

13
So is it the Nylander line, or the Marner line?
It's the Hyman line. :p

14
That was a great shift by the young 'uns

15
That was a thing of beauty 2-0 on Matthews and Nylander's pretty play

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